Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1671dd0d4ca49cd7c223c7ca43dab7ae5dc045db5e49f438f763165400e0b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 54c | 3,099$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.53 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 60c | 2,885$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.11 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 2,168$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.29 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 2,118$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.6 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,950$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 56c | 1,796$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Under | 77c | 1,279$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…3cb9backed Under | 44c | 900$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 22c | 878.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.89 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 614.91$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.33 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 23c | 436.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.64 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 80c | 427.67$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.14 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Under | 76c | 327.56$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 62c | 322.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 70c | 275.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 72c | 230$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 68c | 184.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over | 61c | 176.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 38c | 173.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 48c | 173.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 168.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 38c | 160.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…e559backed Under | 35c | 160.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 22c | 144.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 133.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 39c | 115.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 58c | 113.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 75.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Over | 77c | 34.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 78c | 32.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 46c | 31.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 39c | 30.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 28.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 61c | 27.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 58c | 26.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 78c | 24.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 22.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.