Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbaacd95034f9250536bde9da528839ecd22bd93a58bf77cdf6372488c8e3619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,100$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Under | 50c | 1,653$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 50c | 1,350$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 1,216$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.91 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 51c | 1,200$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.51 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 50c | 1,184$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 891.94$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.84 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 825.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 587.49$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 50c | 524.34$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 58c | 510.84$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 49c | 508.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 57c | 501.93$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Over | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 34c | 491.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.11 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 51c | 489.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 451.96$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 393.43$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 35c | 254.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 232.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 43c | 218.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 51c | 194.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 179.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 177$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 175.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Under | 50c | 165.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 51c | 133.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 17c | 119.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 49c | 108.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 51c | 101.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…480abacked Over | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 67c | 72.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 70.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 54.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 44c | 50.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 36.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 49c | 34.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…9ab4backed Under | 55c | 26.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 54c | 23.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 53c | 20.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Over | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-2.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.