Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d75e2e2baedee42ba0ab0ee5f7137194c2a0f377f07429a9ed65f7687e17b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 608.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 607.54$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 490.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Under | 5c | 390.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 61c | 321$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 316.94$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 304.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 4c | 263.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…03bbbacked Over | 60c | 224.59$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 212$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 40c | 168.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 63c | 124.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Over | 61c | 120.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 39c | 113.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 60c | 106.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 61c | 101$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 39c | 85.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 37c | 55.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 71c | 41.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 40c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Over | 62c | 37.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 37c | 37.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 39c | 32.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 40c | 28.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 74c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.