Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ac8bdac9c9872295d53b1b79e57eb0ff39ba8fb37c0578920c3559478a0591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 5,752$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 52c | 3,265$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.68 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,280$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.56 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 1,677$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.88 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 24c | 1,367$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.38 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 48c | 1,300$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Over | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 919.52$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 70c | 697.71$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 55c | 533.89$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 515.19$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.22 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 65c | 508.52$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.13 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 60c | 474.88$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 72c | 341.39$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 310.06$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.15 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 32c | 224.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Under | 76c | 224.62$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 71c | 205.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 23c | 165.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 71c | 144.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 14c | 97.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 40c | 83.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 82.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 47c | 72.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 29c | 70.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 23c | 67.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 35c | 57.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 65c | 55.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 59c | 44.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 67c | 38.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 53c | 35.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 43c | 34.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 66c | 33.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 71c | 32.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 56c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…bac9backed Under | 80c | 19.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.