Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5414c2b7ad96410b02237a81fbf45ed1b69f0eac0aca95e540ed8246c4ac3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,142$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,399$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Yes | 76c | 985.61$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 10c | 976.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 29c | 240.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 37c | 187.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 29c | 129.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…2d65backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…5e98backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 18c | 83.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 29c | 44.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Yes | 78c | 31.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 31.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)Falkirk FC won
- Spread: Falkirk FC (-2.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.