Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8398b09793c8a388919298f5f183bf2489fe97ee670492acc9956d691a6ecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 70c | 3,197$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 31c | 2,600$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 2,359$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.74 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 73c | 2,317$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.67 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 31c | 2,032$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.92 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 19c | 2,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.29 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 32c | 1,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 20c | 1,545$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +203%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 69c | 1,300$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.6 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 18c | 1,200$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Over | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 19c | 733$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 606.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 68c | 588.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 11c | 574.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 19c | 551.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 17c | 529.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 31c | 512$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 32c | 491.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 488.79$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Under | 72c | 465.28$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ee…7e3abacked Over | 32c | 460$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 68c | 390.38$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 68c | 360.57$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 68c | 330.88$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over | 32c | 316.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 5c | 305$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 68c | 303$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Over | 35c | 254.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 13c | 214.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 5c | 200.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 9c | 184.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 168.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…65a9backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Under | 69c | 150.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Under | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 32c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 68c | 148.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 75c | 113.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 106.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 32c | 95.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 69c | 86.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ef…f50bbacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…d300backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 67c | 70.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 70.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…5ef0backed Under | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 68c | 48.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 73c | 46.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…18d6backed Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…43debacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…5cdabacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 68c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…8fc3backed Under | 69c | 27.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 68c | 26.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 68c | 19.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 70c | 17.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 70c | 17.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.