TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AZ win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86da…6428backed Yes41c7,684$3,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.69650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes41c7,035$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.1121151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c6,325$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,710.772,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5401060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c3,762$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.815,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…9d37backed Yes40c2,800$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c2,758$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.4277350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c2,683$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.2485250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes65c2,357$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No8c2,240$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.132,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No33c2,115$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.831643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed Yes42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes44c1,838$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.462846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No25c1,641$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.322,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes40c1,108$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.413644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No61c832.76$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.9891148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No27c772.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1434139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes48c652.34$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.332,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes42c643.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.499647.9%46 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes67c551.32$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.833461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes42c538.1$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c537.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.447,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Yes42c481.46$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.252254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…44b2backed Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.765100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes43c385.75$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.932142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa708…4effbacked Yes44c361.36$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c358.85$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.622,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No61c325$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.195848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c316$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.441,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No61c290.27$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.061,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961b…dff4backed No11c236.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb10…5080backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes45c232.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.094233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2b…4b88backed Yes42c226.4$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No60c204.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.452556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11810753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1317529.1%51 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Yes42c190.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No60c186$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.212,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No59c170.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.621,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes38c162$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.995630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.527246.3%126 W · 146 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Yes67c147.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.987745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed No11c127.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed No11c127.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60fd…d6debacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f5…0ea0backed Yes67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No59c119.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7318344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x875a…4d33backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes42c116.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.679555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes67c99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6729754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd7c…c310backed Yes42c95.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No61c93.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7817650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3538…1035backed Yes55c90.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.21450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No60c89.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6926051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bdc…9b4cbacked Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Yes42c70.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4fa…bea1backed Yes42c69.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf8…71a2backed Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade5…56b1backed No60c68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8694043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.67353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.525020%10 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes42c55.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.23742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes39c55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5518756.1%105 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x878a…2f20backed Yes41c53.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No61c52.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.015761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed No59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes67c49.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4732257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No59c49.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.498956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fb0…7f8abacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes41c46.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.341656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.554047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes67c44.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8155954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfafa…e6babacked Yes40c42.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked No61c40.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.994835.4%17 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.69258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No60c39.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.775164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed No59c36.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d77…c07abacked Yes40c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.141,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No60c32.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4139852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No34c31.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.679237%34 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed No58c31.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.321973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes54c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5624466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No60c25.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2419146.6%89 W · 102 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…5c84backed No59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc3…1bb7backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked No59c24.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-65.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520647.6%98 W · 108 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No62c22.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.89064.4%58 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No61c20.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.448050%40 W · 40 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89256.5%52 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No62c19.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.