Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht vs. AZ end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca9eacb10ca60f47094c34641c1a0ffd195f509fd8abcfb09968ae453d921c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,617$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.34 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,861$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.96 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,837$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.17 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 1,664$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.64 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 1,207$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.57 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 71c | 1,134$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.97 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,047$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 7c | 697.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 368.77$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 321.7$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 281.58$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 28c | 191$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 169.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 67.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 26c | 55.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 54.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 27c | 52.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 31.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht vs. AZ end in a draw?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.