F1 · resolved market
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2debbde5d0d759177e262fa3e88e9652f19c46ae6df30e73eb4ebbe247556be1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,170 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,714$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,244$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…fe51backed Yes | 15c | 522.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…9118backed Yes | 15c | 426$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 147.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 29c | 140.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…1fd1backed Yes | 45c | 33.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 60c | 32.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Williams have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.