F1 · resolved market
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0375740fe50cbbc83c7f30f264eca190a9c9ba73042bd7e4caae4d6c608a7400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,807 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 38c | 499.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 60c | 228.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Yes | 51c | 215.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…e1a2backed Yes | 56c | 179.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6172…bb67backed Yes | 14c | 153.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Yes | 20c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed Yes | 27c | 71.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 58.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 59c | 54.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 50.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 60c | 41.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc5…7523backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…84a1backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…88bbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?this page
- Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Williams have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.