F1 · resolved market
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaffde23d6994fe4f5def68f2cf99f54d67e273b0fe92c4e74de4c4a0757c094f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,839 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 3,715$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…e1a2backed Yes | 66c | 457.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 14c | 347.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…1334backed Yes | 42c | 247.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes | 79c | 242.52$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 216.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 20c | 213.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 28c | 181.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6172…bb67backed Yes | 25c | 178.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 32c | 166.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…20c8backed Yes | 60c | 165.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 40c | 162$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…1b21backed Yes | 79c | 152.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +96%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d20bbacked Yes | 79c | 115$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 114.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…fe75backed Yes | 56c | 89.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…df7fbacked Yes | 59c | 85.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…5124backed Yes | 55c | 54.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked No | 22c | 51.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 58c | 49.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…c50ebacked Yes | 38c | 44.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 69c | 35.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9acfbacked Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 65c | 27.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…8630backed Yes | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…7405backed Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…ff90backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Williams have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.