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Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,883,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,948,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,883,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 975 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ba6…644cbacked Yes51c889,771$452,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,198.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No49c591,712$289,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,773.293240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked No51c399,997$202,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197,498.571735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed No49c232,003$113,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,321.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes49c118,070$57,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,879.2121947%103 W · 116 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0003727%10 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No49c94,190$46,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,907.952634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes49c90,999$44,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,972.71,19032.5%387 W · 803 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No50c75,800$37,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,9007648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes47c66,446$30,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,925.351540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c50,634$8,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,496.44,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed No49c49,999$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No49c38,900$18,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,031.9932344.3%143 W · 180 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No57c38,369$21,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,423.6321652.3%113 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No49c33,704$16,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,189.0611350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes52c32,324$16,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,6973053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes1c31,500$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.69742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa43a…aa76backed Yes32c31,469$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed No50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Yes51c29,000$14,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7901266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No58c28,205$16,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,722.56650%33 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…57e3backed Yes51c27,504$14,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,027.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes44c26,639$11,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,852.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes53c26,341$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No49c25,954$12,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,236.756050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes51c25,569$13,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,032.698647.7%41 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No66c24,068$15,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,244.492416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No49c23,000$11,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,729.938548.2%41 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes32c22,613$7,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,262.11,01236%364 W · 648 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd3…47b6backed Yes53c21,722$11,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,527.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes46c20,660$9,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,506.7718033.9%61 W · 119 L-13.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2009846.9%46 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Yes48c19,666$9,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,353.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No50c19,055$9,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,524.024254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Yes51c15,686$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked No49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No49c14,436$7,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,373.042462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed Yes47c13,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+75.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…3805backed Yes43c12,626$5,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,37210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed No79c12,611$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes49c12,100$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9892441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0007648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No63c11,306$7,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.771,78634.9%623 W · 1,163 L-34.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes31c11,085$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.9417436.2%63 W · 111 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes48c10,431$5,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,028.7358348.5%283 W · 300 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c10,103$3,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,943.316,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No72c10,000$7,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9005248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes1c10,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110110%0 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes47c9,718$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,521.964452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ca…7895backed Yes51c9,321$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,720.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes51c8,186$4,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,174.622142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No49c8,163$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.1387748.2%423 W · 454 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes51c6,953$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52012643.7%55 W · 71 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c6…0d13backed Yes30c6,576$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c6,364$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.5658551.6%302 W · 283 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94018561.6%114 W · 71 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No50c5,961$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.481650%8 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+109.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46c5…3188backed Yes51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes51c5,770$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.78732.2%28 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No49c5,767$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.198957.3%51 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No67c5,609$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.856050%30 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2833…b319backed Yes0c5,308$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No50c5,199$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.552445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102920.7%6 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes4c5,000$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.966139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No66c4,860$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.07922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-66.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes51c4,728$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.6234739.2%136 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes49c4,723$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.5478342.5%333 W · 450 L+2.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No65c4,532$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.36825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes50c4,273$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.458550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes52c4,267$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.612944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ad…089abacked Yes2c4,143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+90.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No49c4,108$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.8511438.6%44 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No49c4,080$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.821438.8%83 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d1…e5c8backed Yes2c4,066$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+1,090.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…3a8fbacked Yes52c4,038$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04014852%77 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes5c3,859$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2679236.1%286 W · 506 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No70c3,824$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.3442644.1%188 W · 238 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No47c3,505$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Yes51c3,476$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.761060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c3,464$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.8366040%264 W · 396 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes45c3,350$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes50c3,234$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.0910439.4%41 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes51c3,162$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60015848.1%76 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No49c3,136$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.367561.3%46 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Yes49c3,100$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2f…9d99backed Yes51c3,075$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.421070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes50c3,050$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8861…8f1abacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes51c2,865$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No75c2,701$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.341566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes43c2,688$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15038941.4%161 W · 228 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes51c2,624$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.1814245.1%64 W · 78 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.