TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,345,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,394,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,345,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes24c203,782$48,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,895.933240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No38c199,654$75,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,475.0521652.3%113 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c141,365$70,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,082.796,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes55c86,665$47,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,267.941,19032.5%387 W · 803 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No54c77,275$41,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,802.881580%12 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x293b…3b9ebacked No76c75,000$57,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No76c69,740$53,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,737.68853.4%47 W · 41 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae7f…6f49backed No76c58,444$44,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,102.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes66c54,315$36,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,034.5710541%43 W · 62 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes74c45,390$33,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,419.792416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Yes24c41,128$9,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,870.764254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b08…02abbacked No77c40,000$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No76c36,787$27,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,828.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes54c36,508$19,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,822.611,01236%364 W · 648 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Yes43c35,801$15,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,228.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Yes47c35,000$16,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,449.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No29c33,152$9,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,538.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No21c32,175$6,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,492.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes25c28,391$7,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,097.831457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No76c27,137$20,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,512.7910439.4%41 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c13,557$8,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,860.734,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes24c12,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00087748.2%423 W · 454 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes43c12,000$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,159.998957.3%51 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes2c11,004$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.217018.6%13 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+146.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes27c10,087$2,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-58.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…099dbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e2…df57backed No76c8,800$6,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked No29c6,946$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.8417436.2%63 W · 111 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed No76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.951776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No53c6,558$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.866032.9%217 W · 443 L-32.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes2c5,901$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.01540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+76.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No67c5,857$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.584452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No59c5,494$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.7416367.5%110 W · 53 L+19.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c5,316$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.1798645.6%450 W · 536 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x654a…cc32backed Yes41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-79%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No75c4,700$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1753050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes25c4,545$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.883751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No51c4,452$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.8314959.1%88 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…c168backed No75c4,200$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x322e…ef2cbacked No75c4,200$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009671.9%69 W · 27 L+17.4wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+48.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed No74c4,051$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c4,040$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.511,35848.3%656 W · 702 L-3.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cd4…0c98backed No77c4,002$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8803250%16 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed No76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ae…46d7backed No44c3,700$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No75c3,562$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.433455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed No16c3,526$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+536.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked No48c3,500$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8351225%3 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-61.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No76c3,360$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabff…9e8fbacked Yes58c3,356$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c7…147abacked Yes29c3,318$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.341145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No75c3,191$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.764634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d41…6acabacked Yes26c3,120$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No75c2,960$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.229658.1%172 W · 124 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes50c2,879$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.8610454.8%57 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd76b…e9d5backed Yes70c2,862$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed No54c2,855$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.422740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ea…73f3backed Yes69c2,790$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes75c2,704$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.962927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked No76c2,653$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.751947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes25c2,621$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.17825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No74c2,548$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.461154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes6c2,520$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1920048%96 W · 104 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes55c2,363$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.092356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Yes76c2,314$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.081010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-82.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes66c2,301$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.4958348.5%283 W · 300 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe502…4924backed Yes25c2,288$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Yes69c2,278$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes50c2,218$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.1517448.9%85 W · 89 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes44c2,091$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.5210757%61 W · 46 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes27c2,078$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4603565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9806248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60a…80f4backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No33c2,000$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.583863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed No11c2,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+417%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9166…5bd5backed No75c1,937$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No75c1,907$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9964347.7%307 W · 336 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…957ebacked Yes48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes23c1,862$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.268550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5f…5449backed Yes2c1,832$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6460%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes46c1,826$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.5431843.1%137 W · 181 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes54c1,822$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.1531355.9%175 W · 138 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.16761.2%41 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.17663.2%48 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes24c1,807$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.314353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No70c1,800$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.9712548.8%61 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No56c1,771$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed No60c1,768$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked Yes58c1,736$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes25c1,685$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.258647.7%41 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…b570backed Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No66c1,565$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.679745.4%44 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes48c1,556$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.247374%54 W · 19 L+14.5wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes27c1,465$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Yes50c1,387$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6982040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005450%27 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.