TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$614,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$688,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes25c159,998$39,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,998.463537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No75c63,702$47,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,776.27850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No62c43,013$26,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,78221652.3%113 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd67…ef90backed No75c37,533$28,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,15010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c29,504$7,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,659.166,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed No75c28,134$21,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,100.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d47…d0a2backed No75c25,679$19,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,259.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes26c25,666$6,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,982.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes25c24,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0002138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed No75c21,460$16,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,038.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes25c19,128$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,346.181729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No75c18,750$14,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,002.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No75c16,234$12,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,165.6420157.2%115 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No76c15,646$11,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,923.781,19032.5%387 W · 803 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No71c14,720$10,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,451.351566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes27c14,165$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,365.211,01236%364 W · 648 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No3c10,998$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.387018.6%13 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+146.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5005248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes29c9,769$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,935.752254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes24c9,411$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,152.13240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c9,000$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8404170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf584…3979backed No28c7,398$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.02333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No75c7,168$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,376.368732.2%28 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c6,823$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,295.84,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes36c5,556$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes23c4,432$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00018561.6%114 W · 71 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes24c4,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0401957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No72c3,578$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.1242644.1%188 W · 238 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes25c3,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6253455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed Yes73c3,206$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes48c3,158$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.8814959.1%88 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed No75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No76c2,800$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1281136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked No76c2,632$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c2,399$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.841,35848.3%656 W · 702 L-3.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Yes14c2,340$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+118.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes48c2,312$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.441361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked No71c2,002$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.351060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeee…43a6backed No75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3456…57ecbacked No76c1,903$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No24c1,899$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.67110%0 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No74c1,705$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.241,78634.9%623 W · 1,163 L-34.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No73c1,700$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.969546.3%44 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes63c1,606$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.642356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No76c1,553$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1804643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes28c1,529$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.6112548.8%61 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes25c1,503$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.9558348.5%283 W · 300 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No75c1,500$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.438957.3%51 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes26c1,421$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd23a…d952backed No27c1,389$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c1,369$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.911,42444.3%631 W · 793 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No75c1,359$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.5913164.1%84 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes28c1,345$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9629745.4%44 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No78c1,252$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.8266032.9%217 W · 443 L-32.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes26c1,169$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.245630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes60c1,152$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes13c1,139$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.0325725.3%65 W · 192 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.481540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c1,016$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.786648.7%422 W · 444 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1c…7c29backed Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+98.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75011050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c979.51$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.6385152.9%450 W · 401 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No75c946$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.523757%135 W · 102 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No75c928.07$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015848.1%76 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes29c926.55$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.855637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No75c907.12$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.348550.6%43 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c868.41$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.5723832.4%77 W · 161 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed No76c839.47$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c834.84$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.1339532.9%130 W · 265 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes74c812.02$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes26c800$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5921952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Yes35c780.84$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.584254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No74c768.98$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.792462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes26c768.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.38825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked No76c721.21$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.122236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No71c705.66$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.252133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes30c703.21$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.148247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde8b…4cd5backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+76.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…98bebacked Yes28c685.57$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.28728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No27c684.92$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.932245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae43…8194backed No76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes32c634.57$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1476241.9%319 W · 443 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No73c623.89$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.848737.9%33 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No76c604.74$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes30c600$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5913743.8%60 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked No23c600$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358239%32 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No75c599.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.995251.9%27 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes27c596.59$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7410757%61 W · 46 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No22c586.62$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.57825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed No76c582.89$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…bb8abacked No71c580.9$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0817…de6fbacked Yes25c578.28$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+59.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x405e…9c34backed Yes25c570$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.51735.3%6 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick17cpaid+90.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No77c559.46$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.759837.8%37 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes27c543.52$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8210454.8%57 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d22…2bafbacked Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fe…ec7dbacked Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.711070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes27c509.37$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.212020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.