Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65d98226a81dc3bf6492058bed4c1cae550c3896cd02e4b8b27d9ba0fa8fbd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 30c | 220,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 70c | 204,125$142,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,237.61 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 73c | 105,230$76,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,505.53 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 27c | 92,593$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 73c | 51,936$37,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,022.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 42,382$11,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,446.87 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…f844backed Yes | 27c | 42,000$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 27c | 40,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 73c | 17,724$12,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,767.46 | 218 | 52.3%114 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…2104backed No | 73c | 17,343$12,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 17,160$12,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.76 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked No | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 70c | 8,554$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 70c | 7,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 6,400$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.95 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…df57backed No | 73c | 5,925$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 19c | 5,328$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 414 | 53.6%222 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 27c | 4,074$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed No | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 28c | 4,021$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.2 | 595 | 51.3%305 W · 290 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 70c | 3,991$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.23 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 5c | 3,165$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 30c | 2,934$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.34 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303f…2fabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,543$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 27c | 2,476$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…4924backed Yes | 30c | 2,288$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 28c | 2,060$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.2 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 2,044$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.01 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 28c | 2,024$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.77 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 29c | 1,988$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.42 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 14c | 1,986$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.72 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 1,902$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.25 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 34.6%63 W · 119 L | -12.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 1,751$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 397 | 33%131 W · 266 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 1,729$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.46 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 73c | 1,600$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 12c | 1,400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,370$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 798 | 36%287 W · 511 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe819…2a5bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,329$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…7c29backed Yes | 27c | 1,250$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 70c | 1,206$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 27c | 1,097$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.07 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 27c | 1,096$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 27c | 1,096$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 12c | 1,081$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 772 | 41.6%321 W · 451 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 31c | 1,077$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 1,071$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.06 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…e829backed Yes | 33c | 1,048$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 12c | 1,046$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 535 | 34.2%183 W · 352 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…9b48backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 12c | 993$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…b570backed Yes | 30c | 933.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 28c | 876$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 30c | 868$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 27c | 859.41$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…2c71backed Yes | 1c | 844.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…00a1backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 18c | 681.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…46c1backed Yes | 14c | 650.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 30c | 624.1$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 28c | 598.73$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 313 | 55.9%175 W · 138 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…3d86backed Yes | 2c | 537.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 12c | 516.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 30c | 500.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 31c | 469.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed No | 74c | 431$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yes | 29c | 430$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcade…1ff6backed Yes | 30c | 411.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 27c | 402.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…a6b8backed Yes | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 27c | 367.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 343.67$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 1,080 | 45.2%488 W · 592 L | -19.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 341.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…0bdebacked Yes | 30c | 334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a0…a523backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6500…c795backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.