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Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No72c105,789$76,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,620.893438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes28c82,325$23,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,0511612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked Yes22c40,544$8,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,816.062339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308631.4%27 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes28c25,893$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2502445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No72c13,725$9,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.443060%18 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes28c13,674$3,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,828.731729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes0c12,878$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes1c7,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012643.7%55 W · 71 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed Yes1c6,873$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.731315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-53.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x303f…2fabbacked Yes2c5,038$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…27efbacked Yes0c3,410$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c2,275$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.6174950.7%380 W · 369 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…98bebacked Yes2c2,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c2,067$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.8759551.3%305 W · 290 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c2,002$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.3768932.9%227 W · 462 L-32.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c1,797$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7685952.7%453 W · 406 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018234.6%63 W · 119 L-12.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes9c1,560$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.394542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes23c1,310$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc857…a3d3backed Yes1c1,263$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…081cbacked Yes27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes2c1,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2333422.2%74 W · 260 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No79c988.16$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9621852.3%114 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No73c932.07$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.662133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No75c875$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2171855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No73c724.17$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5312535.2%44 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No80c660.22$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2577241.6%321 W · 451 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…9647backed Yes27c545.44$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes26c538.73$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0765447.4%310 W · 344 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c435.71$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9468539.9%273 W · 412 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8810247.1%48 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No76c313.51$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3615155%83 W · 68 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No78c301$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.227241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Yes27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes28c292.84$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829222.8%21 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes27c269.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7939148.3%189 W · 202 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes20c251.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes11c250.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3526530.9%82 W · 183 L-21.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b1b…7217backed Yes27c235.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.461127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bca…486dbacked Yes20c228.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.771428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No78c219.5$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7611441.2%47 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No72c216$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1210038%38 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes28c204.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1237638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449248.9%45 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1079836%287 W · 511 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080%0 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507365.8%48 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+65.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No79c172$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.564656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes9c171.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611,82134.6%630 W · 1,191 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5161…9ea1backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes10c145.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5814144.7%63 W · 78 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No78c142.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.035846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No78c141$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.027339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No73c126.89$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.269457.4%54 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No80c124.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.432564%16 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No76c122.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3725743.6%112 W · 145 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes18c120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24650%23 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes23c111.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.742548%12 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes23c111.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.741827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-56.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26a4…5a9cbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033036.1%119 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6500…c795backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c97.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.231,02951.7%532 W · 497 L+4.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c92.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.111,71352.8%905 W · 808 L+31.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8997…eb15backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf7…897ebacked Yes20c86.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Yes27c75.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes19c75.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.332536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked No76c74.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.152147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…653abacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-62.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e40…56c1backed No72c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb371…472abacked Yes27c59.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed No73c59.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.974961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No79c55.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8420553.2%109 W · 96 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed No72c54.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.352556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No72c53.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.855259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510239.2%40 W · 62 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c48.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9939733%131 W · 266 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…fe8dbacked Yes27c45.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c45.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251,08045.2%488 W · 592 L-19.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…b1a8backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.870%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb59…d1a7backed No74c37.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No77c34.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.215134.4%52 W · 99 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2699345.8%455 W · 538 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.115345.8%70 W · 83 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf406…060dbacked No73c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c27.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659950.4%302 W · 297 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c26.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.792,61347.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.