Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c58d8e892a23de469d7c7954b62c305b3f5546dd3c31078eba6ce88f728e37c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester City FCof Manchester City FC, Crystal Palace FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $426,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 68,713$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,713.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 48,593$31,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,086.46 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 22,468$9,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,191.25 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 13,609$8,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,668.25 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 12,423$8,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,227.15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 9,399$6,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,067.3 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 7,960$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 7,642$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 7,122$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.08 | 595 | 51.3%305 W · 290 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 67c | 7,094$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.19 | 90 | 32.2%29 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 6,939$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.16 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 6,818$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.35 | 182 | 34.6%63 W · 119 L | -12.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…ce2abacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 5,229$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 5,051$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.5 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Crystal Palace FC | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 4,953$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.35 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 4,568$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.78 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 4,539$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.86 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Crystal Palace FC | 23c | 4,498$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 4,488$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.58 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Crystal Palace FC | 51c | 2,861$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Crystal Palace FC | 1c | 2,638$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Crystal Palace FC | 1c | 2,546$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 214 | 38.3%82 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Crystal Palace FC | 63c | 2,512$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.39 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 2,463$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.03 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 2,221$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.58 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 1,670$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.2 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Crystal Palace FC | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…5ff2backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 1,509$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 1,480$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 1,455$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Crystal Palace FC | 34c | 1,433$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.1 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 1,158$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.83 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…c586backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 809.63$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 774.13$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.31 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 745.94$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.29 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…3e10backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 675.58$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.33 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Crystal Palace FC | 60c | 543.6$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.36 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…8fc3backed Manchester City FC | 79c | 508.52$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Manchester City FC | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 496.4$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 391 | 41.7%163 W · 228 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Crystal Palace FC | 49c | 486.31$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Crystal Palace FC | 9c | 472.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 798 | 36%287 W · 511 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 465.35$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…6110backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 457.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 417.01$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Crystal Palace FC | 59c | 392.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…97e1backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 344.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 289.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.13 | 222 | 26.1%58 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…9ff9backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 288.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Crystal Palace FC | 63c | 283.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 277.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…d10cbacked Manchester City FC | 36c | 275$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 265.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked Crystal Palace FC | 25c | 226.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 222.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…4324backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Manchester City FC | 35c | 211.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…cd94backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 194.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Manchester City FC | 50c | 175.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 167.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 161.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.48per pick | 44cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 161.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 772 | 41.6%321 W · 451 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 152$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…9c01backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 151.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…6719backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 142.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Manchester City FC | 53c | 139.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…8ac6backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 134.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c5…294fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 125$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.