Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5c53091723aedba449b2317b27804142a581b63ff5b8e9baaa34dc412c313ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 77c | 19,999$15,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.36 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 8,208$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.92 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 78c | 7,180$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.19 | 101 | 14.9%15 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 5,250$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.51 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 2c | 5,120$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…75a1backed Over | 16c | 3,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Over | 35c | 3,000$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 7c | 2,949$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 5c | 2,565$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 80c | 2,400$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.33 | 798 | 36%287 W · 511 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 7c | 1,662$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 1,548$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Under | 76c | 1,403$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.9 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Over | 18c | 1,043$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…101dbacked Over | 9c | 1,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 13c | 726.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 772 | 41.6%321 W · 451 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 23c | 597.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 18c | 553.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 16c | 540.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 8c | 470$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 214 | 38.3%82 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 12c | 429.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 28.8%103 W · 255 L | -19.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Under | 69c | 406.19$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 7c | 344.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over | 24c | 266.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 10c | 259.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 21c | 259.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 752 | 56.4%424 W · 328 L | +43.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Over | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Over | 19c | 209.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…658dbacked Under | 79c | 199.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 10c | 164.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 21c | 139.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 21c | 109.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 72c | 96.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.9wins | -0.37per pick | 68cpaid | -54%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 25c | 95.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…46c3backed Under | 64c | 87.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…ae22backed Over | 33c | 52.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Over | 38c | 26.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 72c | 22.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ea…a067backed Under | 79c | 20.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…d7febacked Under | 79c | 20.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.