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Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under64c40,000$25,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,732.575648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under68c20,213$13,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,776.461,21832.2%392 W · 826 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.975044%22 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under59c6,314$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.46633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under67c4,486$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.9910942.2%46 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over35c4,307$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.011,02836.2%372 W · 656 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad8…075abacked Under63c3,789$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.06520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-74.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over59c3,294$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.893138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under4c2,510$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6921438.3%82 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c2,340$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.184,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under65c2,289$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.761,32842.4%563 W · 765 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over36c2,134$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.3360147.8%287 W · 314 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Over25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+61.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9946336.3%168 W · 295 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Under3c1,322$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under65c1,194$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.812535.2%44 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c947.79$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.0459551.3%305 W · 290 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under65c741$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.652737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over38c700.44$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+75.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over35c669.22$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.095756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under75c651.99$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.99666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under23c638.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2468932.9%227 W · 462 L-32.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over74c608.11$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.111850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under8c478$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.987339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Over43c474.05$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.211631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over34c465.35$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.132157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under61c337.73$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0125743.6%112 W · 145 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1957343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under24c289$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7199345.8%455 W · 538 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under75c287.64$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.631,82134.6%630 W · 1,191 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over65c281.37$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+77.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5cb…6303backed Under78c256.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over23c250$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+158.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under38c202.52$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.695429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11020659.2%122 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under18c183.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.099248.9%45 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under66c183.56$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.092552%13 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5101…c159backed Over34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under7c176$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3222441.1%92 W · 132 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under76c145.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.76437.5%24 W · 40 L-11.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Over35c139.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c133.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.761,95042.5%828 W · 1,122 L-42.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over74c130$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+109.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…0b95backed Over34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+146.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over25c114.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.83043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb50…430cbacked Over36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over41c111$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.499438.3%36 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e5a…2afdbacked Over29c99.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.919945.2%90 W · 109 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7994…f00bbacked Over36c91.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c3…2ccbbacked Over35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under63c84.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4977241.6%321 W · 451 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c80.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5674950.7%380 W · 369 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Over36c80.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+126.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under14c75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+83.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over72c73.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2975658.6%443 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.515345.8%70 W · 83 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51070%7 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick34cpaid+129.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96f8…358bbacked Over39c47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+71.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.124040%16 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8071…b139backed Over34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c41.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.676,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1585…c3b7backed Over36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.675100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over34c39.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0612249.2%60 W · 62 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c32.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.168539.9%273 W · 412 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over35c30.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.165447.4%310 W · 344 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over36c30.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4937638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0bf…d7febacked Over73c30.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.241163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under66c30.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.821233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5dd…9be0backed Under66c29.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over41c24.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.672152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Under68c24.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under60c18.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116863.2%43 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.