Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0d32fde1361f2c32eba1740650e230c32c7327704e9d8722c0b33d930af72d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 1c | 31,586$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 2,004$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.81 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 1,161$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.2 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 991.55$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.09 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 55c | 914.39$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.91 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 878.01$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.21 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Over | 3c | 833.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 38c | 734$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 602.62$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.02 | 595 | 51.3%305 W · 290 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 2c | 590.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 563.6$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.51 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 39c | 405.61$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 39c | 381.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 376.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 798 | 36%287 W · 511 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 275.05$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 198.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 31c | 165.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 165.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 31c | 154$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…7dfabacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 39c | 102.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 195 | 28.7%56 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…5e18backed Under | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 62c | 60.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1,029 | 51.7%532 W · 497 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 39c | 58.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 45c | 55.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 53c | 51.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 21.7%31 W · 112 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 55c | 45.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 46c | 43.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…0ac8backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.