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Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under41c57,988$23,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,775.663438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over59c42,373$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,372.882445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over57c24,740$14,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,725.810942.2%46 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over58c19,611$11,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,238.4622847.8%109 W · 119 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4229…2e67backed Over59c19,406$11,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,956.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under41c15,599$6,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,439.463060%18 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under45c13,501$6,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,010.881,21832.2%392 W · 826 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under48c7,379$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c7,353$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.81,38348.3%668 W · 715 L-3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfc…bf06backed Under39c6,214$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.7560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under43c6,159$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c5,425$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.391,32842.4%563 W · 765 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over59c4,237$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.2910839.8%43 W · 65 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+61.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c3,511$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.4459551.3%305 W · 290 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Over58c3,400$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4281844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under42c3,300$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3864450%22 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under42c2,739$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.212535.2%44 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under42c2,607$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.83138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05085952.7%453 W · 406 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c2,466$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.5274950.7%380 W · 369 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fc…a4a2backed Under42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-18.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under43c2,310$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c2,254$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.933033.3%10 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under1c2,072$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1521438.3%82 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+69.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Over53c2,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under34c1,996$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.0660147.8%287 W · 314 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over52c1,906$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over59c1,896$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.1368932.9%227 W · 462 L-32.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over53c1,876$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.97977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+77.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.996555.4%36 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c1,742$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.734,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over58c1,620$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.2820441.2%84 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over58c1,552$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7955040%20 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.982040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under44c1,467$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c1,452$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.0468539.9%273 W · 412 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under47c1,372$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.8625743.6%112 W · 145 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c1,298$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.3621939.3%86 W · 133 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over57c1,252$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.369846.9%46 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over61c1,204$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.564542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Over57c1,200$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5183100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under43c1,197$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.712737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.822537.8%85 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over48c1,125$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5852437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over59c1,119$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.69850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under42c1,087$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.5837638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under36c1,040$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.291,02836.2%372 W · 656 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Under42c1,005$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.1514962.4%93 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43011419.3%22 W · 92 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over69c969.62$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.141,42644.3%632 W · 794 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over52c950.56$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.271850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over57c880$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.42365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2224…8c7ebacked Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c834.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4765447.4%310 W · 344 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d2…252abacked Over51c789.31$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.56560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.662352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53b0…50b8backed Under42c581.24$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over57c532$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.767248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3242840.4%173 W · 255 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under42c512$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.046250%31 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55c1…6485backed Over54c507.09$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.996544.6%29 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over57c487.84$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.772157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x242f…6fa9backed Under43c432.7$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.06633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…481bbacked Over59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.731080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1429…1cd8backed Over57c394.74$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Over58c310.34$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Over59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12311348.7%55 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over54c299.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.995246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c210.27$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.312,61347.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c199.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9856255.2%310 W · 252 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under45c195.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1977241.6%321 W · 451 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…8a56backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f4…df56backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4120354.7%111 W · 92 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5c…46c3backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over57c172.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.367365.8%48 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a00…9ac7backed Over58c172$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c171.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.176,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed6…2322backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Over58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa59…d4cebacked Under35c147.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over55c146.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fb2…9811backed Over53c136.79$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over53c133.81$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8919252.1%100 W · 92 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under48c129.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…7249backed Over58c126.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over59c124.22$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over58c122.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.661338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.