Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Musetti vs. Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4da43f2a97ebf8ef2a7520c03097f63035f21985929b7d87d235e90a634de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Musetti | 80c | 40,500$32,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,115 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Tiafoe | 17c | 29,157$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.84 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Tiafoe | 20c | 22,864$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Tiafoe | 16c | 12,710$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.62 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Tiafoe | 21c | 11,574$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.1 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Tiafoe | 21c | 10,711$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.78 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Musetti | 78c | 9,677$7,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.96 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Tiafoe | 12c | 4,005$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.81 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Musetti | 75c | 3,550$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…5172backed Tiafoe | 16c | 3,250$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Musetti | 79c | 2,869$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.23 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Musetti | 80c | 2,735$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.75 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Musetti | 73c | 2,716$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Tiafoe | 21c | 2,678$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tiafoe | 9c | 2,600$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Musetti | 79c | 2,546$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Tiafoe | 9c | 2,034$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.06 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Tiafoe | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tiafoe | 27c | 1,938$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.6 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tiafoe | 21c | 1,861$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…1228backed Musetti | 75c | 1,800$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Musetti | 80c | 1,530$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Tiafoe | 21c | 1,529$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.19 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…fab3backed Tiafoe | 2c | 1,402$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Musetti | 78c | 1,286$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.07 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Tiafoe | 22c | 1,170$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.3 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Musetti | 80c | 1,100$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Musetti | 78c | 1,090$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.8 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Tiafoe | 16c | 1,052$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Tiafoe | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Musetti | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Tiafoe | 21c | 940.76$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…de47backed Tiafoe | 22c | 925.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Tiafoe | 26c | 895.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.25 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Musetti | 80c | 851.51$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Tiafoe | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Tiafoe | 23c | 730$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…ddedbacked Tiafoe | 20c | 724.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Tiafoe | 29c | 655.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.42 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Tiafoe | 11c | 600$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Musetti | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…67a8backed Musetti | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Tiafoe | 21c | 455.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Musetti | 80c | 441$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Tiafoe | 16c | 434.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Tiafoe | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Tiafoe | 28c | 371.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tiafoe | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…3932backed Tiafoe | 20c | 366.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Tiafoe | 10c | 352.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Tiafoe | 12c | 342.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…57bfbacked Tiafoe | 14c | 340$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Tiafoe | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…4eebbacked Tiafoe | 10c | 265$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Musetti | 80c | 263$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tiafoe | 10c | 240$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed Tiafoe | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Musetti | 79c | 238.1$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Tiafoe | 17c | 229.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Tiafoe | 19c | 201.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Tiafoe | 17c | 192.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…42acbacked Tiafoe | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tiafoe | 26c | 151.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Musetti | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked Tiafoe | 21c | 144.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…1031backed Musetti | 80c | 142.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tiafoe | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Tiafoe | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…6509backed Tiafoe | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Musetti | 80c | 107.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…5921backed Musetti | 80c | 107.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked Musetti | 80c | 104.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…f1b8backed Tiafoe | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Tiafoe | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Musetti | 79c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tiafoe | 24c | 75.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked Musetti | 80c | 73.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Tiafoe | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…bf39backed Musetti | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Musetti | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Tiafoe | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…1978backed Tiafoe | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…a8fabacked Tiafoe | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…0d89backed Musetti | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.