MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b94961ac4e430e7c4a178b99252412ea4e2e010b17c2d1dec343ed00bd042f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Brewers | 57c | 19,334$11,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,218.74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 40c | 10,357$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Brewers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Brewers | 51c | 9,909$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 50c | 9,835$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.65 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 42c | 6,043$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.72 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 51c | 5,874$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.63 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Reds | 53c | 5,568$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 42c | 5,363$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.05 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 47c | 4,886$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.48 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 50c | 4,852$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers | 49c | 4,778$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.87 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 66c | 4,395$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.06 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Reds | 49c | 4,297$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Reds | 35c | 3,864$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.55 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers | 50c | 3,716$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.22 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Reds | 52c | 3,620$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Brewers | 48c | 3,495$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 45c | 3,366$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.63 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Reds | 1c | 3,306$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Brewers | 58c | 3,065$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 52c | 3,054$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.28 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…c953backed Brewers | 75c | 2,746$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Brewers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…9b40backed Brewers | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 52c | 2,099$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 33c | 2,006$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.52 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Brewers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.15 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 50c | 1,849$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.26 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Reds | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4769…2ea2backed Brewers | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a04…0edebacked Reds | 52c | 1,425$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac84…5ac7backed Reds | 52c | 1,404$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…3d75backed Brewers | 48c | 1,371$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…4b8dbacked Reds | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…61a1backed Reds | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Reds | 71c | 1,259$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Reds | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…73dcbacked Brewers | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…7ec4backed Reds | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.45 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Brewers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…e6dabacked Brewers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…9e78backed Reds | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 49c | 999.99$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.33 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Reds | 54c | 994.13$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.01 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Reds | 21c | 963.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Reds | 51c | 936.16$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.44 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…a014backed Reds | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Reds | 51c | 899.61$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.9 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Brewers | 73c | 894.52$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.52 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 38c | 874.83$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.63 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 50c | 859$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.5 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Brewers | 48c | 849.15$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.56 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 48c | 841$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Brewers | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Reds | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Brewers | 51c | 745.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 30c | 714.18$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.15 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Reds | 26c | 666.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Brewers | 74c | 642.51$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.11 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Reds | 53c | 612.52$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.58 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 40c | 607.5$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 51c | 588.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Brewers | 73c | 558$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 49c | 526.17$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.35 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Brewers | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Brewers | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Brewers | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Brewers | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 68c | 475.27$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…340dbacked Brewers | 49c | 459.59$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Reds | 13c | 447.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 70c | 427.14$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Brewers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Reds | 20c | 391.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Reds | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…1291backed Reds | 52c | 332.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…6f8ebacked Brewers | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Brewers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…0fb3backed Reds | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 51c | 286.84$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Reds | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers | 63c | 283.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Brewers | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Brewers | 72c | 260$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 46c | 236.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 46c | 232.23$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…88f4backed Reds | 63c | 218.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Brewers | 49c | 206.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.