NBA · resolved market
Will Jalen Brunson score 31+ points against the Pacers?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b92145ca1cc57d3bff38b8a64ae5a9b078c90cb01ff1fd983900d1afabcc80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 55c | 30,030$16,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,615 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 45c | 20,075$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,033.55 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 46c | 7,219$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.58 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.64 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…2d11backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…a11fbacked Yes | 48c | 980$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…55afbacked No | 47c | 635$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…c3a6backed No | 52c | 555$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3c…974fbacked No | 47c | 365$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…b8a3backed No | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 47c | 328.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…0770backed Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked No | 45c | 100.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 46c | 91.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92ff…7a3bbacked No | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2894…c2f7backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…312abacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9168…4c2cbacked No | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…686dbacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d16…598bbacked Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…75a4backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d6…9ed6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…f6d4backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.