Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Bublik vs. Draper
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2b8b007bdb656727e49dddc6eff88a94adece555ed712c55c35b38f5daddc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Bublik, Draper
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Bublik | 13c | 15,128$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,124.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Draper | 27c | 13,406$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bublik | 69c | 8,968$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.98 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Draper | 35c | 8,102$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.24 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Draper | 51c | 8,078$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.63 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Bublik | 79c | 6,977$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.85 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Draper | 28c | 6,427$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Draper | 36c | 5,040$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.55 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Draper | 28c | 4,946$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.27 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Bublik | 70c | 3,862$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.64 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Bublik | 12c | 3,478$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bublik | 74c | 3,376$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.39 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bublik | 73c | 2,274$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.88 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik | 9c | 2,120$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Bublik | 72c | 2,091$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Bublik | 60c | 1,939$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.48 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Bublik | 74c | 1,883$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Draper | 33c | 1,601$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Bublik | 22c | 1,366$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.58 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…f930backed Bublik | 11c | 1,328$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Draper | 66c | 1,257$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.65 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Draper | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Bublik | 9c | 1,098$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.18 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Draper | 48c | 1,095$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.34 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Bublik | 39c | 1,038$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.18 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Bublik | 10c | 1,000$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bublik | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Bublik | 78c | 973.46$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Draper | 46c | 948.4$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.79 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Draper | 21c | 942.58$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f2…74d2backed Bublik | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Bublik | 11c | 878.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.44 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bublik | 10c | 854$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.08 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Draper | 22c | 733.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…7896backed Draper | 28c | 725.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Bublik | 77c | 700$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Bublik | 39c | 600$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Draper | 41c | 551.46$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…35a9backed Bublik | 21c | 500$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed Bublik | 10c | 485.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Draper | 79c | 483.91$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.29 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Draper | 21c | 483.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Draper | 47c | 430$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Bublik | 17c | 400$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…9f76backed Draper | 20c | 368.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…fab3backed Bublik | 55c | 323.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…5921backed Draper | 60c | 300.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55d…51f1backed Bublik | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Bublik | 77c | 265.41$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bublik | 52c | 231.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Bublik | 54c | 205.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2847…5439backed Draper | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Bublik | 57c | 151.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Draper | 11c | 133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bublik | 8c | 127.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bublik | 26c | 126.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…6295backed Bublik | 16c | 124.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Bublik | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Draper | 45c | 102.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Draper | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Bublik | 56c | 89.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Bublik | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…68c5backed Bublik | 24c | 62.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…7316backed Draper | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bublik | 44c | 59.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Draper | 33c | 57.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Draper | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…6f7bbacked Bublik | 80c | 41.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bublik | 59c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Draper | 49c | 26.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Bublik | 45c | 23.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.