Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Paolini vs. Svitolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed861f982cdc65e33d4e104c6536c206c3f89797d3e3e323ffe3e1f9f66d3318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Paolini, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Svitolina | 25c | 35,870$8,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,896.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Paolini | 74c | 32,519$23,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,989.01 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Paolini | 39c | 8,549$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Paolini | 72c | 5,097$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.24 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Svitolina | 45c | 2,267$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.66 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…65d0backed Paolini | 71c | 1,546$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Svitolina | 28c | 1,302$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.48 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Svitolina | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Svitolina | 25c | 1,000$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.66 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Paolini | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Paolini | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Paolini | 55c | 877.94$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.87 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Paolini | 13c | 833.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Paolini | 75c | 669.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Paolini | 72c | 520$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Svitolina | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Svitolina | 13c | 479.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.49 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Paolini | 75c | 398.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Paolini | 58c | 327.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Svitolina | 12c | 324.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Svitolina | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Paolini | 72c | 209.48$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Paolini | 54c | 201.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Paolini | 73c | 184.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Svitolina | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Svitolina | 45c | 152.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Paolini | 60c | 146.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Paolini | 55c | 133.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Svitolina | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Paolini | 42c | 115.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Svitolina | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Svitolina | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Paolini | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Paolini | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Svitolina | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Paolini | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Paolini | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Svitolina | 35c | 36.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…1d6bbacked Paolini | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.