Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain beat France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22dbe1753d0d3473d2ef061a68daeb14d3e93affc52dee0cc90ce2fa43056ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 6,300$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.27 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked No | 59c | 5,339$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 42c | 5,299$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.4 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 42c | 4,544$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.49 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,256$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.14 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,640$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.4 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 60c | 1,296$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.19 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 60c | 1,145$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Yes | 41c | 916.68$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 909$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 41c | 758.9$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 58c | 690.59$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.66 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfa…d8d2backed Yes | 40c | 621.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…9217backed Yes | 43c | 540.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 378.32$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…af0ebacked Yes | 40c | 262.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 39c | 255$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…474abacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…c27ebacked Yes | 44c | 226.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 71c | 191.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…a89ebacked Yes | 80c | 183.63$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…028abacked Yes | 44c | 169.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed No | 62c | 160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Yes | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 26c | 143$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…447bbacked Yes | 40c | 136.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9b…bb0abacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e0c4backed Yes | 41c | 107.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 57c | 101.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…d365backed No | 22c | 91.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…d9bebacked No | 61c | 83.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 36c | 82.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 39c | 73.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa30…e390backed Yes | 40c | 64.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Yes | 39c | 56.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…4e97backed Yes | 40c | 52.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…b384backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…1a23backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 56c | 48.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…94e9backed Yes | 41c | 48.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…45aabacked Yes | 42c | 48.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…701dbacked Yes | 43c | 46.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 41c | 36.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked No | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…1f64backed Yes | 40c | 31.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…dea5backed Yes | 41c | 29.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…ed64backed Yes | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…8fa9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 67c | 18.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain beat France?this page
- Will France beat Spain?No won
- Will Spain vs. France end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.