Fifa International · resolved market
Will Albania beat Serbia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3becc6f9e95b3bdde72f07bcaacb536d7311b4897d87a055fd32b96c19cf33b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb145…df85backed Yes | 26c | 2,125$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked No | 74c | 2,063$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 71c | 1,148$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.76 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…7b9bbacked Yes | 29c | 829.07$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 75c | 472.3$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 328.85$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…f862backed Yes | 27c | 252.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 247.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 73c | 241$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…e79cbacked Yes | 28c | 200.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…76bebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2a…43d5backed Yes | 28c | 165.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…2353backed Yes | 27c | 150.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…52dabacked No | 75c | 116.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…d5e5backed Yes | 26c | 102.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5128…64b2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…5bd2backed Yes | 26c | 87.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…b99cbacked Yes | 28c | 70.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…2a3bbacked Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…7688backed Yes | 29c | 50.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a16…320fbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfb…2703backed Yes | 24c | 44.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c19…3fb7backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…5932backed Yes | 28c | 38.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania beat Serbia?this page
- Will Serbia beat Albania?No won
- Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.