Fifa International · resolved market
Will Serbia beat Albania?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31b84e7cb8a88a3a08093194fa79e1a7f80f540ee8f9ef57aba05a825d184591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 59c | 2,270$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.33 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 57c | 1,051$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.84 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…f530backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…15a7backed Yes | 43c | 985.72$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 44c | 723.75$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 39c | 709.63$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.89 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 33c | 601.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 56c | 459.69$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 45c | 447.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 56c | 399.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 359.2$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 218.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 47c | 214.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 56c | 148.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 67c | 87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…4f83backed Yes | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 45c | 67.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…39cabacked Yes | 36c | 49.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…5207backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 41c | 25.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia beat Albania?this page
- Will Albania beat Serbia?No won
- Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.