Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Tiafoe vs. Altmaier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb345c28f6499446dec6c2a2bf021f3cdd208949f5640a7f5fac48547548aa305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiafoe of Tiafoe , Altmaier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Tiafoe | 65c | 50,204$32,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,571.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Altmaier | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Altmaier | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Altmaier | 35c | 3,018$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.05 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…65d0backed Tiafoe | 66c | 2,567$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Altmaier | 22c | 2,477$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.04 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Tiafoe | 65c | 2,266$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.76 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Altmaier | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Altmaier | 21c | 1,838$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Altmaier | 20c | 1,777$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.63 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Altmaier | 35c | 1,579$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.92 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Tiafoe | 72c | 1,575$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.25 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Altmaier | 24c | 1,217$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.23 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Altmaier | 14c | 1,100$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tiafoe | 63c | 1,010$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.75 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Altmaier | 35c | 1,002$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Tiafoe | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tiafoe | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Altmaier | 38c | 738.4$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.96 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Tiafoe | 68c | 644.29$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tiafoe | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tiafoe | 62c | 548.07$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.27 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Tiafoe | 67c | 518$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Tiafoe | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Altmaier | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Altmaier | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Tiafoe | 68c | 495.51$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Altmaier | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Tiafoe | 65c | 326.9$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Altmaier | 35c | 297.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tiafoe | 71c | 286.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Altmaier | 35c | 239.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Tiafoe | 65c | 232.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Altmaier | 34c | 225$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Altmaier | 36c | 214$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tiafoe | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Tiafoe | 75c | 160.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Tiafoe | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Altmaier | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Altmaier | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tiafoe | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tiafoe | 64c | 119.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…9a14backed Tiafoe | 64c | 117.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Altmaier | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tiafoe | 71c | 88.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Altmaier | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Tiafoe | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Altmaier | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tiafoe | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…f409backed Tiafoe | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…1d6bbacked Tiafoe | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…1e83backed Tiafoe | 66c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…46b0backed Tiafoe | 78c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Tiafoe | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…d147backed Tiafoe | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tiafoe | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.