MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2cb0271de886a7298c57436015e46c388f75be8d9715340192ffe78cb17bcd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Braves, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42ff…8477backed Phillies | 58c | 29,577$17,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,422.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…4679backed Braves | 42c | 29,013$12,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,185.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Braves | 41c | 26,099$10,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700.68 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Braves | 43c | 20,157$8,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,667.57 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Phillies | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 62c | 9,025$5,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.76 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 43c | 8,888$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.51 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 17c | 6,655$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Braves | 1c | 5,477$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Phillies | 57c | 4,795$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.73 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Phillies | 79c | 4,595$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Phillies | 79c | 3,965$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.65 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 73c | 3,655$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 58c | 3,507$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 59c | 3,364$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.08 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Phillies | 58c | 3,233$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.86 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 57c | 3,063$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.28 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Phillies | 57c | 2,483$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.34 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 22c | 2,395$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.92 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 22c | 2,373$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.75 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…c525backed Braves | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7404…c062backed Braves | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 59c | 2,000$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…a572backed Braves | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…fd7bbacked Braves | 32c | 1,878$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…c489backed Braves | 39c | 1,833$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Phillies | 62c | 1,341$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.78 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Phillies | 75c | 1,332$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.77 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Braves | 45c | 1,133$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.74 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…1a54backed Phillies | 61c | 1,133$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…ed6dbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,131$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…41f3backed Braves | 42c | 1,102$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…2e0cbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,090$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…ca4cbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,082$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…82debacked Braves | 42c | 1,060$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79d5…710ebacked Phillies | 58c | 1,053$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3c0cbacked Braves | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…8696backed Phillies | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…83bcbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,010$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2198…d9d4backed Braves | 42c | 998$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…94c3backed Phillies | 58c | 997$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…14cabacked Braves | 42c | 990$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…a6b9backed Phillies | 59c | 983$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…c0fdbacked Phillies | 61c | 980$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…179ebacked Braves | 41c | 976$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…70fbbacked Phillies | 61c | 967$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…9fc1backed Phillies | 61c | 918$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…7e7fbacked Phillies | 61c | 869$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 59c | 855$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.55 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…ae80backed Phillies | 61c | 853$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Braves | 40c | 634.25$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.71 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 57c | 626.88$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Phillies | 59c | 605.73$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 58c | 600$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 40c | 580.67$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.27 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Phillies | 69c | 570.21$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…92f4backed Braves | 42c | 564$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 38c | 545$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Phillies | 57c | 526.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 56c | 526$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.44 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Phillies | 61c | 510.08$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Braves | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 59c | 480.58$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Braves | 13c | 463.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Braves | 28c | 457.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Braves | 39c | 445.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Braves | 39c | 397.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Braves | 9c | 354$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Braves | 10c | 347.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Braves | 10c | 249.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Phillies | 58c | 245$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Phillies | 59c | 237.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Braves | 22c | 231.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 49c | 214$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Phillies | 60c | 198.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Braves | 41c | 195.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Braves | 23c | 189.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…3dbbbacked Phillies | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eed…1675backed Braves | 12c | 168.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Braves | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 61c | 165$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Phillies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Phillies | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Phillies | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe47…457bbacked Braves | 19c | 134.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Braves | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Braves | 40c | 125.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Phillies | 50c | 119.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 76c | 118.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Phillies | 76c | 117.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 72c | 116.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Phillies | 58c | 100.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.