MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfddb9cb10be7d30ad1179d98a0d76ebf72d2bd9add16bfb9c37b2649518ae9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cubs | 60c | 103,815$62,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,525.81 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nationals | 40c | 58,886$23,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,554.41 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Cubs | 59c | 17,045$10,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 40c | 14,000$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Nationals | 40c | 12,568$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.03 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 40c | 11,530$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 37c | 8,394$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 21c | 6,687$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.43 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nationals | 43c | 3,936$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.44 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Nationals | 40c | 3,134$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.45 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 42c | 3,048$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.39 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 1c | 2,508$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 1c | 2,370$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 42c | 2,223$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.81 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 41c | 2,103$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Nationals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,750$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.48 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Cubs | 55c | 1,748$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.49 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nationals | 49c | 1,699$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.69 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nationals | 40c | 1,636$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.4 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 40c | 1,580$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Cubs | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Nationals | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Nationals | 41c | 1,487$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nationals | 56c | 1,353$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.81 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 24c | 1,288$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.87 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cubs | 53c | 1,238$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.71 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nationals | 3c | 1,213$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 42c | 1,179$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.51 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 1c | 1,150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Nationals | 9c | 1,110$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Nationals | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nationals | 40c | 999.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 41c | 994.8$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.87 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 11c | 992.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Nationals | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 40c | 941.17$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.75 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Cubs | 60c | 890$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Nationals | 41c | 885.37$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Cubs | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 80c | 786.79$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cubs | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cubs | 51c | 753.26$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.47 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…2fefbacked Cubs | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 38c | 635.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.43 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…0434backed Cubs | 60c | 620.23$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Cubs | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 31c | 577.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 35c | 576.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.35 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 58c | 560.44$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed Nationals | 2c | 549.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 29c | 545.53$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…e14cbacked Nationals | 44c | 515$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…7352backed Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Nationals | 42c | 472.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 40c | 419.91$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…aa6dbacked Nationals | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…492dbacked Nationals | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 41c | 383.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Nationals | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed Cubs | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cubs | 66c | 308$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…054abacked Cubs | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Cubs | 52c | 302.74$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…d3c7backed Nationals | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Nationals | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cubs | 59c | 299.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…ff2dbacked Cubs | 60c | 290$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Cubs | 73c | 263.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Nationals | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 42c | 247.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…21d6backed Cubs | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Cubs | 59c | 204.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 36c | 200.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…0eeebacked Nationals | 6c | 194.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 41c | 189.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Cubs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Cubs | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 67c | 170.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Nationals | 40c | 167$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…29b5backed Cubs | 57c | 158.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Nationals | 49c | 138.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…6e69backed Nationals | 44c | 131.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Nationals | 40c | 130.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…e984backed Cubs | 57c | 129.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Cubs | 32c | 126.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed Nationals | 48c | 125.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Cubs | 57c | 117.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.