MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d71bece38fcf8a957774dd803c762c97857b84b972e15330cddfc88a48a5e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Marlins, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf7c…2d43backed Marlins | 49c | 9,996$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…bf65backed Pirates | 51c | 9,995$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Marlins | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.02 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 50c | 9,154$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 0c | 5,840$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Marlins | 48c | 3,302$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.95 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 52c | 3,042$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.21 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Pirates | 42c | 2,400$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.26 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 47c | 2,323$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.65 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 47c | 2,188$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.28 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Marlins | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pirates | 53c | 1,880$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.78 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 2c | 1,733$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Marlins | 1c | 1,468$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 24c | 1,306$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 79c | 1,175$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.27 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 77c | 1,168$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Marlins | 2c | 1,106$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Marlins | 4c | 1,070$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Pirates | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Marlins | 6c | 969.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Marlins | 4c | 882.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Marlins | 46c | 863.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 69c | 793.14$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Marlins | 50c | 784.9$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.18 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Marlins | 49c | 770.05$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.32 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Marlins | 49c | 754.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.94 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Marlins | 13c | 733.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 47c | 712.55$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Pirates | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Marlins | 9c | 665$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pirates | 51c | 659.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.39 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 52c | 617.55$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.42 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Marlins | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Marlins | 10c | 553.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Marlins | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Marlins | 49c | 519.58$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 54c | 514.81$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Marlins | 49c | 512.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Pirates | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 38c | 416.13$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pirates | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 52c | 389.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Pirates | 55c | 355.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Marlins | 10c | 349.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 34c | 315.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 45c | 310$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Pirates | 51c | 305.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Marlins | 48c | 286.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 46c | 256.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Marlins | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Pirates | 40c | 241.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 53c | 221.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 48c | 216.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 47c | 209.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Marlins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Marlins | 34c | 181.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 49c | 159.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Marlins | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 47c | 145.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Pirates | 54c | 143.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 45c | 127.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Pirates | 52c | 125.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Marlins | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 51c | 111.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…8bfbbacked Pirates | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…496fbacked Marlins | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…8b73backed Marlins | 50c | 109.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 52c | 108.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…b437backed Marlins | 48c | 106.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Pirates | 52c | 105.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Marlins | 24c | 103.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…148dbacked Pirates | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Pirates | 53c | 101.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Pirates | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Marlins | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…5a16backed Marlins | 49c | 98.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…6bf9backed Marlins | 49c | 98.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c4…107cbacked Pirates | 52c | 96.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2202…b157backed Marlins | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…3f14backed Pirates | 53c | 95.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…2dedbacked Marlins | 49c | 95.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d9…49f1backed Pirates | 52c | 93.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…7ecbbacked Pirates | 53c | 93.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…0b34backed Marlins | 49c | 91.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…23acbacked Pirates | 52c | 91.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bc…69b2backed Pirates | 53c | 91.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…6134backed Pirates | 53c | 90.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pirates | 51c | 89.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…ac6dbacked Pirates | 53c | 88.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…67cbbacked Pirates | 53c | 88.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.