MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9572bc68b694fb433ffa9ef0f496cae789656daa5f4584a3c662db2a38a0680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Athletics, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Athletics | 42c | 24,615$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,300 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 11,870$7,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.25 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Athletics | 38c | 9,708$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Athletics | 48c | 7,021$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 55c | 6,982$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Athletics | 42c | 6,319$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.09 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 57c | 5,704$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Athletics | 55c | 4,753$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.11 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 4,279$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 3,921$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.61 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 3,153$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.94 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Blue Jays | 80c | 2,818$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Blue Jays | 59c | 2,589$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…6133backed Athletics | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3582backed Athletics | 41c | 2,146$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Blue Jays | 55c | 2,093$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.83 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…a7d0backed Athletics | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,993$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.19 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,985$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.55 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Athletics | 47c | 1,964$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.28 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8cfabacked Athletics | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,942$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.96 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Athletics | 26c | 1,795$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.14 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…377cbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 1,285$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,283$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.63 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Athletics | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,190$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.8 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,117$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.41 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…6b29backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,107$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…d3a2backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,093$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 7c | 1,063$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…05b0backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,039$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Athletics | 5c | 1,022$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3074…e225backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jays | 59c | 999.99$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.34 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…38efbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 983$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Athletics | 54c | 917.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99b…7d85backed Blue Jays | 59c | 915$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Blue Jays | 59c | 858$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 3c | 836.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Blue Jays | 79c | 600.53$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Athletics | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 567.54$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Athletics | 31c | 509.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 40c | 499.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 58c | 466.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Athletics | 50c | 443.88$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Blue Jays | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Athletics | 40c | 399.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Athletics | 46c | 377.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Athletics | 41c | 377$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Athletics | 28c | 361.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Athletics | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 268.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Athletics | 12c | 262.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Blue Jays | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Athletics | 5c | 249.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Athletics | 33c | 210.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Athletics | 58c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Athletics | 23c | 180.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jays | 60c | 171.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Athletics | 47c | 167.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Blue Jays | 66c | 146.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 70c | 141.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Athletics | 43c | 139.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Athletics | 47c | 137.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Athletics | 15c | 112.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 107.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Athletics | 42c | 106.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 25c | 102.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 55c | 97.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Athletics | 41c | 97.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Blue Jays | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Blue Jays | 68c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…f3d4backed Athletics | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Athletics | 41c | 69.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Blue Jays | 44c | 63.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Athletics | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Athletics | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.