Lol · resolved market
LoL: Los Heretics vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe9ac28da412d240ed53e525fc0e047fcd1e429d0f98c0ff2a2cdae6b578d622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Hereticsof Los Heretics, ROSSMANN Centaurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 27c | 14,554$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.39 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Los Heretics | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Los Heretics | 73c | 5,858$4,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.59 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 4,359$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.07 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Los Heretics | 64c | 3,616$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +58%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…4931backed Los Heretics | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 2,500$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Los Heretics | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Los Heretics | 78c | 1,885$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 21c | 1,828$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Los Heretics | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 1,424$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…f416backed Los Heretics | 76c | 1,420$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 1,260$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 40c | 1,244$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Los Heretics | 76c | 1,232$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 1,103$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Los Heretics | 76c | 1,100$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Los Heretics | 75c | 1,075$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 1c | 1,060$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +699.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 1,011$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed Los Heretics | 77c | 886.17$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Los Heretics | 77c | 857.14$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.14 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…a417backed Los Heretics | 76c | 806.01$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked Los Heretics | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 25c | 770.57$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Heretics | 74c | 764.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 749.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 740$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 650$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…4ebabacked Los Heretics | 77c | 645$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…6607backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 634.8$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…b012backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 603.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 600$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Los Heretics | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Los Heretics | 77c | 517.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Los Heretics | 75c | 517$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Los Heretics | 76c | 509.73$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Los Heretics | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…fea4backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…0ff3backed Los Heretics | 74c | 499.95$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Los Heretics | 78c | 496.06$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Los Heretics | 77c | 432.92$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 47c | 427.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Los Heretics | 77c | 365.2$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Los Heretics | 73c | 364.39$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa688…c7b8backed Los Heretics | 75c | 307.76$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…90abbacked Los Heretics | 76c | 299.73$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Los Heretics | 76c | 269$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 265.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6563…5025backed Los Heretics | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1964…5461backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 249$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 209$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 186$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd616…9c1ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…9c8fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…2807backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…2711backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…c328backed Los Heretics | 77c | 140.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…aa0cbacked Los Heretics | 77c | 136.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…c1b4backed Los Heretics | 77c | 135.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Los Heretics | 77c | 132.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Heretics | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Los Heretics | 76c | 131.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a07…35b2backed Los Heretics | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…f780backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 126.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Los Heretics | 72c | 125.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 16c | 121.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…76babacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…eed9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 101.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5325backed Los Heretics | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee08…a032backed Los Heretics | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…adc2backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…f6a8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 81.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…f806backed Los Heretics | 76c | 79.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x595b…993fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 78.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…bb79backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…5e79backed Los Heretics | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…e16cbacked Los Heretics | 80c | 68.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Los Heretics | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Los Heretics | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Los Heretics | 78c | 64.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Los Heretics | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbc…8e1dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…25aebacked Los Heretics | 67c | 56.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…af17backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 55.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.