MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0088d63e913c75d731f716fb85d7b00833a8aba3032420d46f8cbed467841453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Mariners | 59c | 38,037$22,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,423.58 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mariners | 61c | 21,230$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950.22 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Orioles | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,150 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 47c | 11,810$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…621ebacked Orioles | 40c | 9,998$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…f0fcbacked Mariners | 60c | 9,998$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 40c | 8,827$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,268.21 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 41c | 7,994$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.21 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 38c | 5,680$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.55 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Orioles | 41c | 5,607$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.84 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Mariners | 58c | 5,136$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Orioles | 35c | 4,777$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.04 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Mariners | 39c | 4,769$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.63 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 15c | 4,407$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.38 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 21c | 4,207$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 62c | 4,143$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.59 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 41c | 3,787$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.7 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Mariners | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 39c | 3,205$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Mariners | 59c | 2,400$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.44 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Orioles | 47c | 2,284$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.65 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 39c | 2,197$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Mariners | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Orioles | 42c | 1,987$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.09 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 45c | 1,866$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.97 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Orioles | 49c | 1,760$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.6 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Mariners | 59c | 1,668$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 11c | 1,623$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 80c | 1,227$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.67 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mariners | 61c | 1,206$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.95 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Orioles | 42c | 1,180$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 11c | 1,166$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Orioles | 40c | 1,082$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mariners | 20c | 1,008$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 38c | 963.37$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.29 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 59c | 905$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.95 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 7c | 872$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 4c | 833.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Mariners | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 37c | 771.72$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 58c | 690.17$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.92 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mariners | 19c | 631.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Orioles | 40c | 616.63$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.79 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 43c | 615.72$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.51 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 38c | 518.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Mariners | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 43c | 504.84$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Mariners | 59c | 481.36$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Mariners | 65c | 390.48$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Mariners | 60c | 388.41$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Mariners | 32c | 370$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Mariners | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Mariners | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mariners | 59c | 313.56$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 41c | 287.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Mariners | 62c | 276.3$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…5932backed Orioles | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 74cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…e984backed Mariners | 59c | 243.74$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Mariners | 57c | 241.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…c14abacked Orioles | 17c | 238.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Orioles | 64c | 236.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 39c | 231$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mariners | 63c | 227.49$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Mariners | 60c | 215.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Mariners | 58c | 214.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Mariners | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Mariners | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Orioles | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…65ecbacked Orioles | 39c | 138.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…80e0backed Orioles | 42c | 123.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Mariners | 60c | 122.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Orioles | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…20c6backed Mariners | 62c | 119$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…c37abacked Orioles | 38c | 119$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Mariners | 59c | 115.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…be79backed Mariners | 62c | 107$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…7c2cbacked Orioles | 38c | 107$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Mariners | 28c | 105.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…c1c2backed Mariners | 28c | 104.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Mariners | 58c | 103.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Mariners | 32c | 101.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mariners | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mariners | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Mariners | 58c | 99.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.