TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Angels, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$412,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$404,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc605…d372backed Red Sox55c109,360$60,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,685.248641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Angels38c83,772$31,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,832.9417652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Red Sox57c27,212$15,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,675.896556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Red Sox37c18,979$6,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,980.2519650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcd…165cbacked Angels78c18,060$14,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,067.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox41c15,442$6,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,074.372,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a6…4a91backed Angels45c9,996$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf27f…aed2backed Red Sox55c9,995$5,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,497.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Angels60c7,524$4,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,539.2732852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels45c7,107$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.559,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels43c6,620$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.362,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd32…33c4backed Angels46c5,423$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.41421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-66%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels44c4,798$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.191,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed Angels52c4,063$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.663351.5%17 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Angels44c3,523$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.091,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Angels66c3,490$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.2176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6079…5932backed Angels66c3,034$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick74cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox44c3,007$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.5745248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1047…763abacked Angels44c2,863$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox59c2,804$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.5586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels42c2,750$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Angels57c2,350$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35028447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Red Sox56c2,348$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.925550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Red Sox56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01221941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Angels45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox51c2,115$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.771,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox57c2,045$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.4540547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87f…fb1fbacked Angels50c2,019$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0011241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels43c2,002$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.8143949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Angels44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox51c1,884$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.9779740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels45c1,813$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.321,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Angels59c1,759$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.5414951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Angels43c1,713$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.551,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.9949250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Angels60c1,582$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.3715256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacbc…4b92backed Angels47c1,500$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.124438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox55c1,106$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a86…80efbacked Angels38c1,051$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.23540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3006…62cdbacked Angels1c1,021$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Angels45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef57…90c1backed Red Sox47c1,000$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5312544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels44c999.93$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9793240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Red Sox64c995$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.210041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…eb7cbacked Red Sox56c980$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.23125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Red Sox37c932.53$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9113946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels43c911.35$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.831,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Red Sox56c894.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.344261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Angels43c869.09$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.715,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Angels58c850$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.641,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Angels45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec2…10dabacked Red Sox56c780$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox36c600.65$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.0123938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Angels44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Red Sox42c591.48$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.0624551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Red Sox56c571.43$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Angels45c529.88$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Angels43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21511757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98a0…1b3dbacked Red Sox45c451.69$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.432941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels50c440.19$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.814,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8c…4ac2backed Angels60c412.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Angels50c385.43$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9514047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Angels44c358.78$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1587659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Angels38c320$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.69550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Red Sox43c306.21$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8612335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecea…2399backed Angels71c299.76$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Red Sox56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8622958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55b…d5ccbacked Red Sox48c253.47$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.512744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…029ebacked Red Sox33c215.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.072250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb3…4393backed Angels60c210.32$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Angels44c207.93$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4926453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Angels31c203.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Angels50c201.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Red Sox22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15612314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels44c199.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Angels38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7525835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Red Sox60c189.58$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5819849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef04…88c3backed Red Sox56c183.93$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b34…7484backed Red Sox55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Red Sox64c180$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0741751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Angels41c179.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6311058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Red Sox56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5717754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Angels45c177.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.927554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x575e…5b86backed Red Sox56c157.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.144852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a12…c455backed Red Sox40c148.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.742222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1240…3a3fbacked Angels66c145.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f5…f3d4backed Angels45c143.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.452548%12 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb260…a44ebacked Angels79c139.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.595653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…137fbacked Angels30c137$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Angels70c135.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7411357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2339…e984backed Red Sox56c134.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Angels44c130.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6349450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c07…9748backed Angels62c128.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox45c127.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.538743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Angels44c125.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.661,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox51c124.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5168656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox49c116.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.211,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.