NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19c6ba2a58c4b9029afac69c250aecdc718597e850fde1d24ebcdfb3237f634c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Flames, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $583,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $779,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Predators | 53c | 177,951$94,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,350.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 47c | 121,073$56,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,876.25 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 40c | 46,446$18,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,390.49 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Flames | 46c | 44,667$20,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,615.11 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Predators | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100.32 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Predators | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Predators | 53c | 20,315$10,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,449.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Flames | 49c | 18,708$9,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,166.85 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Flames | 47c | 15,324$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.27 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Predators | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flames | 49c | 10,720$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,252.97 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Predators | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 47c | 9,821$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.61 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Predators | 52c | 9,127$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.59 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 46c | 8,995$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.68 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 47c | 8,518$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Flames | 50c | 8,159$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Flames | 46c | 8,130$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.76 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Predators | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Predators | 53c | 7,962$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.88 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Flames | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Flames | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Predators | 51c | 4,445$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.07 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flames | 42c | 3,896$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.06 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Predators | 52c | 3,328$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Predators | 53c | 2,504$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.89 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Predators | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 28c | 2,253$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.27 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f218backed Flames | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Predators | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Predators | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Predators | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames | 46c | 1,506$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.21 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 9c | 1,284$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flames | 9c | 1,269$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 10c | 1,264$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Predators | 53c | 1,250$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Flames | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Predators | 54c | 995.44$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…7831backed Flames | 7c | 595.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Flames | 13c | 593$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Flames | 49c | 504$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Flames | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Flames | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d931backed Flames | 46c | 452.21$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 47c | 426.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Flames | 49c | 404$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flames | 31c | 386.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Predators | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Predators | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Predators | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 33c | 342.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 45c | 325.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flames | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…fc24backed Flames | 48c | 290$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Predators | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Predators | 53c | 283.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flames | 46c | 277$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Predators | 55c | 255.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Predators | 53c | 255.22$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Predators | 53c | 224.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Flames | 48c | 220.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flames | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Flames | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…3375backed Flames | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Flames | 8c | 205$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 13c | 203.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Predators | 53c | 200.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…23a3backed Flames | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Predators | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Predators | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Predators | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Flames | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…7e58backed Predators | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…9300backed Predators | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…f781backed Flames | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Predators | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Predators | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Predators | 53c | 153$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…0104backed Predators | 54c | 152$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…f3acbacked Predators | 54c | 151$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Flames | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a99…1538backed Predators | 54c | 149$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Predators | 74c | 135.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Flames | 48c | 133.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Flames | 26c | 128.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff6…7e67backed Predators | 54c | 124.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Predators | 51c | 122.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Predators | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Predators | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…47e6backed Predators | 58c | 103.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Flames | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Predators | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Predators | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Predators | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Predators | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Predatorsthis page
- Flames vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.