TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Penguins, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$275,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Penguins41c106,054$43,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,421.815953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Jets59c73,593$43,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,173.1314057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Jets60c51,020$30,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,632.6521652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins40c48,061$19,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,026.8836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Jets61c16,167$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,366.7110356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Penguins39c10,769$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.861,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Jets61c8,995$5,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.0570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Penguins40c7,811$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.0737847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Penguins39c7,146$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.9388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins39c6,918$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.0686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Jets60c6,667$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.675648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Penguins40c4,981$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.4941246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets59c4,800$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9681,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jets60c4,800$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.6469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jets61c4,728$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5132…150dbacked Jets60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins41c3,500$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Jets60c3,419$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.7230551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Penguins42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.5311946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets60c2,915$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.0664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82e…e915backed Jets60c2,631$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf41…59c1backed Penguins40c2,631$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jets61c2,600$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Penguins15c2,207$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9833837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jets63c2,020$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.4356649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…b63fbacked Penguins15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Jets61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Penguins38c1,908$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.4748050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets60c1,761$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.457453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Jets62c1,505$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.8313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Penguins37c1,444$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.0530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins5c1,343$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Penguins1c1,253$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.667450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Penguins16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Penguins40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets59c1,151$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.541,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…c08abacked Jets62c1,135$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fd…dbc5backed Jets61c1,079$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.862161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbd2…19ffbacked Penguins40c1,079$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.962548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…0a75backed Penguins38c1,055$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Jets58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4206162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1685…63c4backed Penguins40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf880…9a5ebacked Jets61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Jets60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Penguins3c978.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.951,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Penguins42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets58c905$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff3e…d6febacked Penguins40c850$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins4c762.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Jets59c699.98$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.993557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Jets60c637$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.84949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets61c633$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.871,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins36c615.84$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.71,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Penguins40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins10c521.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Penguins37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Penguins40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Penguins40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003850%19 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Jets59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20516554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Penguins38c449.54$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8313449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604a…8379backed Penguins23c434.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007146.5%33 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Jets60c418.29$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.323354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Penguins38c408$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.045646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed Jets61c400$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1586750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2d…6ae3backed Penguins40c381.29$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.52825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Jets64c378.48$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2515646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Penguins10c346.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.23,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Penguins7c333$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.254827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe997…1922backed Penguins41c304.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256942%29 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Penguins40c275.64$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Penguins40c274.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Jets61c267.97$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.511,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Penguins38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Penguins37c259.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.274951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8c…7831backed Penguins39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Penguins40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8c…c6b1backed Jets62c231$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d37…6246backed Jets61c229.85$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Jets59c209.94$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7138744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Penguins40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…7a1cbacked Jets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1efd…f06fbacked Jets61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65de…9de4backed Penguins39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Jets62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7636652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ce…81c3backed Penguins39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b8…aec0backed Jets60c174.98$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.993650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfeb…7e58backed Jets62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Jets63c154$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9823545.1%106 W · 129 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2b…f781backed Penguins40c153.51$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Jets63c147$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3931047.4%147 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Penguins39c146.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2813440.3%54 W · 80 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea27…94a0backed Penguins41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8116…7239backed Jets61c131.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1511144.1%49 W · 62 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb05c…cba1backed Penguins39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013941.7%58 W · 81 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Penguins41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022949.3%113 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Jets62c109$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4239757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Penguins39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Jets62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.