South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b3b058cad7532a708e1f156b8d09c3f93b0cdaa3c426810a18d102583df85d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 62c | 14,533$9,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.65 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 4,344$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 33c | 3,308$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.13 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 37c | 2,588$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 2,050$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 1,651$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.69 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 42c | 1,532$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.06 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 64c | 1,420$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.3 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 67c | 1,012$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 65c | 499.83$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.94 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 65c | 496.1$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 67c | 442.33$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.97 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 421.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…f12dbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…3e14backed Yes | 36c | 299.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 69c | 112.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 59c | 104.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 70c | 95.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed Yes | 80c | 62.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…3643backed Yes | 38c | 61.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 67c | 41.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…07f0backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2025-10-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.