South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc7a02c10b07cebb1ab045a6b5e75a199c216b54154aeb78c2bf36b3289a77c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 40c | 8,795$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed No | 64c | 1,657$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Yes | 36c | 1,655$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 1,553$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 663.76$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.18 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 41c | 217$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 68c | 146.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 66c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…f5bdbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 26.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.