MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe16061e22e1de25b363228fe326c56cae2e0e2a6e51bf6b8718dfb7418a8a62e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Blue Jays | 53c | 20,195$10,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,491.5 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Blue Jays | 52c | 20,000$10,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,699.91 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 48c | 9,907$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twins | 47c | 7,663$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.61 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 55c | 6,363$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 48c | 6,134$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Twins | 50c | 5,652$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.12 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 48c | 4,193$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Blue Jays | 27c | 3,768$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.95 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 25c | 3,034$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Twins | 49c | 2,986$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.36 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 65c | 2,689$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.54 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 31c | 2,448$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.44 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Blue Jays | 37c | 2,278$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.68 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Blue Jays | 79c | 2,064$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 37c | 2,042$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.67 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Blue Jays | 73c | 2,041$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Blue Jays | 41c | 1,751$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.38 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Blue Jays | 74c | 1,572$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 69c | 1,319$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.25 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 35c | 1,318$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.43 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Twins | 52c | 1,258$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Twins | 44c | 1,094$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.45 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Blue Jays | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Twins | 33c | 945.34$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.97 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Twins | 22c | 931.51$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.63 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 48c | 915$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.64 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Twins | 52c | 838.85$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Twins | 69c | 800$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Twins | 48c | 786.9$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.71 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 63c | 779.83$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.39 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Blue Jays | 53c | 770$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.9 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 15c | 714.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 692.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.07 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 675.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.14 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Blue Jays | 53c | 661.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.68 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 50c | 633$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Twins | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blue Jays | 35c | 603.06$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.4 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Twins | 49c | 557$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…e75bbacked Twins | 79c | 556.27$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 50c | 551.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.68 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Twins | 48c | 517.5$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Twins | 46c | 512.4$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Twins | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Blue Jays | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Twins | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Blue Jays | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Twins | 48c | 487.5$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Twins | 18c | 482.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Twins | 52c | 476.27$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 427.28$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 49c | 416.83$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Twins | 48c | 380$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 375.56$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 24c | 365.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Blue Jays | 53c | 345.66$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Twins | 74c | 339.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Twins | 34c | 334.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blue Jays | 33c | 293.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Blue Jays | 73c | 242.47$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Twins | 56c | 230.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Twins | 18c | 216.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Twins | 49c | 210.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 40c | 209.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Twins | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Blue Jays | 51c | 206$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Blue Jays | 20c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Blue Jays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Twins | 50c | 187.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Blue Jays | 71c | 180.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Blue Jays | 55c | 169.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Blue Jays | 71c | 155.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Blue Jays | 50c | 148.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Blue Jays | 52c | 148.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Blue Jays | 24c | 145.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 139.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…147ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 126.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Blue Jays | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Twins | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Blue Jays | 22c | 110.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Blue Jays | 72c | 109.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbd…5dafbacked Twins | 50c | 109.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 68c | 107.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Blue Jays | 54c | 105.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Blue Jays | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…5aa5backed Twins | 52c | 101.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Twins | 48c | 100.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 51c | 100.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Twins | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…4901backed Twins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.