NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4994ae9134c45ac2bca9dbbe1d5c4f20aa84d5525a0e9d699d204cee1a2ad525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks | 46c | 38,642$17,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,649.75 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Knicks | 32c | 19,587$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.89 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Lakers | 20c | 13,226$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,580.9 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Lakers | 37c | 10,803$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,808.24 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Lakers | 57c | 9,904$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.89 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Lakers | 64c | 8,486$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.32 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 30c | 7,764$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,450.87 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 20c | 7,600$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 40c | 7,574$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Knicks | 63c | 6,897$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Knicks | 59c | 6,805$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.57 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Lakers | 61c | 3,641$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.84 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Lakers | 21c | 3,571$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.43 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Lakers | 26c | 3,480$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.45 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 73c | 3,190$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.91 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lakers | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks | 79c | 2,719$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.07 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Knicks | 56c | 2,500$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.96 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Knicks | 79c | 2,498$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Lakers | 21c | 2,424$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 79c | 2,411$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.61 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 38c | 2,367$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.39 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Lakers | 24c | 2,126$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.8 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers | 70c | 1,876$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.94 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Lakers | 28c | 1,777$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.4 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Knicks | 80c | 1,761$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.99 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 60c | 1,653$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.55 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Knicks | 63c | 1,630$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.08 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Knicks | 80c | 1,620$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks | 79c | 1,518$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.08 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Lakers | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Knicks | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Knicks | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…61a9backed Knicks | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…dbf4backed Lakers | 45c | 1,487$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…6864backed Lakers | 38c | 1,393$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lakers | 28c | 1,327$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.14 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Lakers | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Lakers | 20c | 1,298$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.4 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Knicks | 77c | 1,291$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…bbcdbacked Lakers | 80c | 1,260$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 63c | 1,229$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.59 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…d9f5backed Lakers | 21c | 1,154$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked Lakers | 78c | 1,091$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Knicks | 64c | 1,090$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.89 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lakers | 19c | 1,076$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.55 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Knicks | 2c | 1,050$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Lakers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Lakers | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Lakers | 26c | 1,000$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.1 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Knicks | 32c | 987.3$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.4 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…5657backed Lakers | 47c | 954.88$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Knicks | 79c | 945$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.25 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Knicks | 2c | 899.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Knicks | 70c | 859.77$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Lakers | 24c | 835.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.42 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Lakers | 24c | 835.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Lakers | 37c | 799.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Lakers | 19c | 776.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Knicks | 58c | 764.76$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Knicks | 79c | 760$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Lakers | 25c | 749.68$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.68 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Knicks | 78c | 741.16$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.63 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Lakers | 21c | 733.68$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 20c | 700$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a122backed Lakers | 19c | 699.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Lakers | 70c | 682.77$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.54 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Lakers | 30c | 681$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.8 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Lakers | 20c | 677.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Knicks | 79c | 659.97$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.38 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…d707backed Lakers | 46c | 649.3$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Knicks | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Knicks | 45c | 595.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Lakers | 20c | 579.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Lakers | 28c | 560.43$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.81 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…a13fbacked Lakers | 75c | 533.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Lakers | 57c | 525.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.34 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Lakers | 39c | 510.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.62 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Knicks | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Lakers | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Knicks | 80c | 489.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Lakers | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Lakers | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Lakers | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Lakers | 19c | 473.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.68 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…8fc6backed Lakers | 20c | 465$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…a60ebacked Lakers | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Lakers | 42c | 440$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.6 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Lakers | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.05 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Lakers | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Lakers | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Knicks | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Lakers | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Lakers | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Lakers | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Lakers | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.