MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2c6d4bfe94ba060d8192f509551a3b1a05a8f4d09b642c8ea15f01f30ee3a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Royals | 43c | 20,281$8,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,560.11 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 13,675$7,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,794.62 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 15c | 8,495$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 64c | 2,907$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 57c | 2,797$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.47 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf85…5d36backed Royals | 41c | 2,655$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…e764backed Royals | 41c | 2,618$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,990$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…d3f8backed Cardinals | 59c | 1,786$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…3923backed Cardinals | 59c | 1,765$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 59c | 1,750$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…5a1ebacked Cardinals | 59c | 1,722$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 41c | 1,690$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.58 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Cardinals | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Royals | 43c | 1,487$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,449$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 36c | 1,441$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.85 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cardinals | 21c | 1,417$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 57c | 1,388$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.44 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Royals | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc3…c3c8backed Cardinals | 48c | 979$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 57c | 899.93$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.96 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Cardinals | 3c | 886.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Royals | 4c | 800$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 4c | 780.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royals | 21c | 690$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.57 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 34c | 675$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cardinals | 10c | 589.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 17c | 540.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.03 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cardinals | 11c | 524.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Royals | 54c | 500$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cardinals | 34c | 460$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 31c | 422.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.46 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Royals | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Cardinals | 57c | 346.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cardinals | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Royals | 41c | 299.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 27c | 298.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 56c | 251.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 40c | 237.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 9c | 191$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 42c | 184.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Royals | 61c | 182.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Royals | 42c | 170.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Royals | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Royals | 42c | 159.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 41c | 116.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Royals | 42c | 116.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 65c | 107.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Cardinals | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Royals | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 57c | 94.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Royals | 43c | 91.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Royals | 42c | 89.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Cardinals | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Cardinals | 57c | 75.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 40c | 71.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 42c | 68.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…6e0bbacked Cardinals | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…47e9backed Royals | 43c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…214ebacked Cardinals | 58c | 59.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…1e53backed Royals | 43c | 57.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…d083backed Cardinals | 37c | 54.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8332…e4b2backed Cardinals | 59c | 52.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…acbfbacked Royals | 42c | 52.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Cardinals | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Cardinals | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…4356backed Royals | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a802backed Royals | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Cardinals | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Royals | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0135…a1ebbacked Royals | 43c | 45.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…4c0bbacked Cardinals | 58c | 45.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…f7b5backed Cardinals | 58c | 44.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cardinals | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 43c | 39.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…00f9backed Cardinals | 28c | 39.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 68c | 37.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Royals | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Cardinals | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…87cfbacked Royals | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Royals | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Cardinals | 59c | 29.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ef…14e1backed Royals | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 58c | 26.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…5febbacked Royals | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cardinals | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Royals | 42c | 24.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…5716backed Royals | 42c | 23.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cardinals | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Cardinals | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Royals | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.