MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6cbd76cfe01bd2c3164498fa76e1be73e8051e02d5a35156c399de8792373c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Tigers | 54c | 10,298$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.85 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Royals | 48c | 9,800$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.86 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…0033backed Royals | 1c | 8,582$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…7ab8backed Royals | 1c | 7,894$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…0f54backed Royals | 1c | 7,458$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Royals | 46c | 6,320$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.22 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…83debacked Royals | 1c | 5,187$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Tigers | 52c | 5,075$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 41c | 4,875$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.98 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 46c | 4,404$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.93 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…5d24backed Royals | 2c | 3,978$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers | 54c | 3,883$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.37 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 47c | 3,616$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 60c | 3,100$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Tigers | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Royals | 47c | 2,805$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.35 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Royals | 47c | 2,803$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.41 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers | 72c | 2,619$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.83 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Royals | 20c | 2,525$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.71 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 67c | 2,311$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.91 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 52c | 2,211$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.15 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royals | 34c | 1,632$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.7 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…feeabacked Royals | 4c | 1,589$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 60c | 1,491$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.35 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 50c | 1,264$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.43 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 67c | 1,093$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.59 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Royals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Tigers | 76c | 999.97$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 52c | 949.8$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.41 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 47c | 906$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Royals | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Royals | 31c | 701$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Tigers | 75c | 626$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 47c | 625.62$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Royals | 34c | 543.45$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Tigers | 54c | 528.04$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Royals | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Royals | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 3c | 494.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Tigers | 51c | 386.41$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 31c | 363.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Tigers | 57c | 351.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Tigers | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Tigers | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Royals | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Tigers | 53c | 289.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 41c | 288.17$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Tigers | 54c | 244.8$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 47c | 212.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Tigers | 53c | 212.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Royals | 48c | 206.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 68c | 199.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…acd4backed Tigers | 75c | 196.77$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Tigers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Tigers | 53c | 183.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Tigers | 68c | 175.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4016…c9e2backed Tigers | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Royals | 27c | 133.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 51c | 131.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Tigers | 51c | 125.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…d102backed Royals | 48c | 113.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Tigers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…a47abacked Royals | 48c | 108.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…4186backed Royals | 48c | 106.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…5205backed Tigers | 54c | 101.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Tigers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…a9bfbacked Tigers | 54c | 99.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030f…4c3bbacked Tigers | 54c | 98.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…e6e5backed Tigers | 55c | 97.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3530…7f2fbacked Royals | 48c | 95.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Tigers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ca…8b6fbacked Tigers | 54c | 92.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…147ebacked Royals | 48c | 92.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Royals | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…7255backed Tigers | 55c | 90.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…28d7backed Tigers | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…fe51backed Royals | 48c | 86.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked Royals | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Tigers | 80c | 80.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…f2d3backed Royals | 49c | 78.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Tigers | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Royals | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Tigers | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 71c | 62.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Royals | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Tigers | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.