MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4394a34f70c36296c602ec5696518162ba5c75d3d6e6f87e635c96005e4dca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Dodgers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Dodgers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.98 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 18,130$8,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,427.49 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers | 17c | 12,678$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 16c | 8,877$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.02 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.85 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 78c | 4,855$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 4,567$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Dodgers | 25c | 3,860$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.01 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 54c | 3,385$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dodgers | 1c | 2,869$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Dodgers | 4c | 2,596$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 2,405$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.24 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Dodgers | 1c | 2,303$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cardinals | 73c | 2,303$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.48 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers | 47c | 2,276$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.79 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 56c | 2,056$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.85 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dodgers | 47c | 2,027$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.78 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 8c | 1,950$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Dodgers | 1c | 1,871$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers | 40c | 1,759$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,751$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.78 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 46c | 1,116$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Dodgers | 20c | 1,098$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Dodgers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cardinals | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 49c | 969.67$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.21 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Cardinals | 52c | 925$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Dodgers | 48c | 925$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cardinals | 50c | 914$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers | 47c | 842.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Dodgers | 2c | 811.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Dodgers | 4c | 792.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 52c | 747.17$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.64 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Dodgers | 10c | 683.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…340dbacked Cardinals | 70c | 635.71$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Dodgers | 15c | 627.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 51c | 612.24$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Dodgers | 4c | 599.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Cardinals | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dodgers | 8c | 519.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…8537backed Dodgers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Cardinals | 53c | 470.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Dodgers | 14c | 428.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Dodgers | 48c | 411.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 70c | 400$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Dodgers | 30c | 377.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 52c | 365.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Dodgers | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…9787backed Dodgers | 21c | 345.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cardinals | 64c | 285.28$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Dodgers | 52c | 258.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Dodgers | 29c | 249.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 228.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 63c | 213.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Dodgers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Dodgers | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Dodgers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Dodgers | 30c | 201.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Dodgers | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Cardinals | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cardinals | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Dodgers | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cardinals | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Dodgers | 50c | 191.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers | 47c | 188.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dodgers | 47c | 185.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Dodgers | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Dodgers | 11c | 181.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cardinals | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dodgers | 16c | 174.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 26c | 169$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…337fbacked Dodgers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Dodgers | 40c | 151$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 145.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d22fbacked Dodgers | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…c76cbacked Cardinals | 49c | 114$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…c3fdbacked Dodgers | 51c | 114$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…4025backed Cardinals | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…fab0backed Dodgers | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2848…6315backed Dodgers | 47c | 105.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Dodgers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…2e3abacked Dodgers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Dodgers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Cardinals | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 49c | 102.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Dodgers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Dodgers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Cardinals | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…134bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 92.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.