College Football · resolved market
Louisville vs. Washington
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d064697b2e621ecc318e033f9c524ed904c3881c7fbaba8864f4b519769ccd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisvilleof Louisville, Washington
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd398…c487backed Washington | 54c | 13,727$7,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,412.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Louisville | 46c | 9,505$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +99%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Washington | 10c | 6,105$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.72 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Washington | 51c | 4,599$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.43 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Louisville | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Louisville | 46c | 3,456$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Washington | 34c | 3,064$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.98 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Washington | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Louisville | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.94 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Louisville | 46c | 2,790$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Louisville | 53c | 2,530$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Washington | 26c | 2,349$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Washington | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Louisville | 47c | 1,980$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.21 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Washington | 44c | 1,913$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.75 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Washington | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Louisville | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Washington | 51c | 1,602$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.77 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Washington | 51c | 1,600$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Washington | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Washington | 6c | 1,062$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Washington | 51c | 1,003$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…8cc9backed Louisville | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Louisville | 49c | 1,001$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.93 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Washington | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Washington | 60c | 901.23$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…9e1bbacked Louisville | 53c | 864$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Louisville | 64c | 776.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Washington | 13c | 772.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…7660backed Louisville | 53c | 749$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Louisville | 55c | 719$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…7c74backed Washington | 51c | 714.12$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +267.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed Louisville | 49c | 714.12$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Washington | 20c | 702.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Washington | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Washington | 43c | 700$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…7374backed Washington | 2c | 613.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Washington | 19c | 600$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Louisville | 54c | 560.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Louisville | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Washington | 25c | 500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Washington | 34c | 434.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Washington | 56c | 404.37$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.45 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Washington | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Washington | 49c | 399.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Louisville | 66c | 390.96$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f3b3backed Washington | 52c | 369.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…74d1backed Louisville | 48c | 369.19$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Louisville | 72c | 347.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Washington | 7c | 326.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Washington | 40c | 308.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b8…79eabacked Washington | 53c | 301.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…6022backed Louisville | 47c | 301.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Washington | 14c | 301$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Louisville | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Louisville | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Louisville | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…ad54backed Louisville | 50c | 291.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…ab13backed Washington | 50c | 291.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…3c27backed Louisville | 51c | 238.24$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…1856backed Washington | 49c | 238.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Louisville | 58c | 233.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Louisville | 49c | 227.18$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Louisville | 48c | 208.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Louisville | 49c | 204.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Louisville | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Louisville | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…1bbcbacked Washington | 52c | 191.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Louisville | 51c | 173.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Washington | 44c | 167.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Louisville | 47c | 150.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…0905backed Louisville | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Louisville | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Washington | 40c | 127.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…d0e4backed Washington | 49c | 123.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Louisville | 51c | 123.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…f17bbacked Louisville | 48c | 122.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…42a0backed Louisville | 57c | 121.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Louisville | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Louisville | 69c | 115.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Louisville | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Louisville | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Louisville | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Louisville | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Louisville | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…3e1dbacked Louisville | 52c | 97.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Washington | 61c | 96.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Louisville | 69c | 89.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Washington | 48c | 84.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…b823backed Washington | 49c | 81.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8186backed Louisville | 51c | 81.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Washington | 30c | 81.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Washington | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Washington | 48c | 79.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Louisville | 56c | 71.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Washington | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Washington | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…868cbacked Washington | 17c | 63.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Washington | 33c | 52.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…467dbacked Louisville | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.