MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5387dec0a07436f792cd86d75cd5d24653f0e3d09690b3849e5bd9067d48de5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Nationals, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Nationals | 65c | 58,932$38,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,500 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mets | 38c | 23,700$8,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,787.39 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 30c | 22,627$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,940.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 56c | 11,111$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.84 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 44c | 10,783$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nationals | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…0f0dbacked Mets | 59c | 9,996$5,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4a…5550backed Nationals | 41c | 9,996$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Mets | 26c | 8,765$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,491.23 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mets | 52c | 6,220$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.5 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…b623backed Nationals | 42c | 4,966$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 58c | 4,145$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.4 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mets | 39c | 3,938$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.47 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 42c | 2,970$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.27 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Nationals | 61c | 2,666$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.88 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 42c | 2,249$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mets | 80c | 2,212$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.64 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mets | 47c | 2,138$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.15 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Nationals | 68c | 2,032$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mets | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Nationals | 41c | 1,986$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.26 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 58c | 1,986$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.85 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Mets | 26c | 1,929$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.35 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Mets | 42c | 1,922$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.73 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 41c | 1,842$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.05 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a377backed Mets | 58c | 1,810$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…441cbacked Mets | 58c | 1,756$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets | 59c | 1,744$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.78 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Mets | 60c | 1,445$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.23 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…d3f0backed Mets | 58c | 1,401$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 68c | 1,106$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.21 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 24c | 1,034$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.22 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mets | 35c | 1,033$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.11 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Mets | 30c | 1,030$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.75 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Nationals | 59c | 1,020$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Mets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 42c | 987.97$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.95 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Mets | 62c | 968.55$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.55 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 58c | 965$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.86 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mets | 33c | 920.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.67 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Mets | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Mets | 58c | 899$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.58 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Nationals | 67c | 893.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 60c | 888.12$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.49 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Mets | 59c | 849.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.99 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Mets | 34c | 821.06$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.78 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mets | 36c | 800$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…c685backed Mets | 58c | 760$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Nationals | 49c | 734.56$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Nationals | 41c | 706.48$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.66 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 58c | 701.55$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.65 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 33c | 660$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.21 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Mets | 45c | 647.62$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.19 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Nationals | 42c | 635$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mets | 68c | 619$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.08 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 27c | 618.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 42c | 593.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Nationals | 20c | 587$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…615bbacked Nationals | 42c | 570$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Mets | 29c | 544.95$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.84 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Nationals | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mets | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Mets | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 40c | 479.91$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals | 59c | 450.27$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.84 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Nationals | 77c | 449.2$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.19 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nationals | 67c | 449.12$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.91 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…1165backed Nationals | 43c | 441.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…cbebbacked Nationals | 43c | 438.4$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…1a6ebacked Nationals | 43c | 423.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…bcb4backed Nationals | 43c | 417.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Mets | 59c | 411.7$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…6f02backed Nationals | 43c | 406.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 58c | 399.96$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 51c | 389.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…1a05backed Nationals | 43c | 381.23$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 72c | 348.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 42c | 332.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 27c | 321.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 41c | 319.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Mets | 61c | 311.53$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…3738backed Mets | 58c | 311.52$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nationals | 20c | 308.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…7ccebacked Mets | 58c | 306.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mets | 30c | 299.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.66 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…b016backed Mets | 68c | 292.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…c59abacked Mets | 58c | 288.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…4faebacked Mets | 58c | 282.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…3f06backed Mets | 58c | 280.88$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…4aedbacked Mets | 59c | 276.56$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mets | 38c | 273.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 46c | 271.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Nationals | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…9b0ebacked Mets | 58c | 268.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2252…3f47backed Mets | 58c | 265.76$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mets | 39c | 258.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.