NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df469b3cc8b04f181ce2dfd18fdbe68545e3ea1ab686338b9b1d50d33ba04ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $836,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $923,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 736 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa55f…f4f4backed Bucks | 62c | 45,012$27,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,907.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…bb77backed Grizzlies | 38c | 45,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 54c | 29,528$15,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,832.84 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 52c | 28,602$14,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,816.5 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Grizzlies | 39c | 26,759$10,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,354.46 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Grizzlies | 79c | 22,220$17,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.19 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 19,469$10,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,264.68 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 15,028$7,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,106.75 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bucks | 61c | 14,121$8,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,572.39 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Bucks | 61c | 14,008$8,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,476.78 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 41c | 12,202$5,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,018.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 11,843$4,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,232.87 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 11,025$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.81 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…8ed0backed Grizzlies | 38c | 10,016$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,209.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…1f21backed Bucks | 62c | 10,003$6,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,201.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…92acbacked Bucks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bucks | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…33dbbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 8,304$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.33 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Grizzlies | 47c | 8,037$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.36 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,738$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.98 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 42c | 7,542$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.79 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 58c | 7,462$4,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,312.91 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 5,762$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks | 58c | 5,250$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Grizzlies | 43c | 5,080$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.58 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Grizzlies | 37c | 4,408$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.6 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 4,210$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.63 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 57c | 4,131$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.49 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Grizzlies | 25c | 4,077$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.32 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…9cd4backed Bucks | 57c | 3,601$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…547dbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 3,437$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 69c | 3,125$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.48 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bucks | 57c | 3,093$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.76 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 40c | 3,012$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bucks | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Grizzlies | 41c | 2,687$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.35 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Bucks | 55c | 2,601$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.34 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…c367backed Grizzlies | 43c | 2,558$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 35c | 2,300$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.8 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cde…038abacked Bucks | 59c | 2,207$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +200%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,188$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.28 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,013$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.79 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 41c | 2,000$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 62c | 1,783$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.78 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Grizzlies | 35c | 1,750$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Bucks | 57c | 1,723$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Bucks | 58c | 1,715$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 59c | 1,695$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.82 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…2afabacked Bucks | 60c | 1,606$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…f3b0backed Grizzlies | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 60c | 1,520$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.23 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bucks | 55c | 1,511$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.75 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Bucks | 61c | 1,500$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bucks | 61c | 1,411$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.93 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks | 60c | 1,350$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Grizzlies | 38c | 1,300$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Bucks | 19c | 1,300$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Bucks | 60c | 1,254$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.89 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Grizzlies | 38c | 1,243$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.66 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Grizzlies | 42c | 1,218$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.23 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bucks | 58c | 1,204$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.01 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…959fbacked Bucks | 43c | 1,196$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Bucks | 58c | 1,184$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,170$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.77 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Bucks | 62c | 1,153$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.56 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Bucks | 62c | 1,138$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.77 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bucks | 61c | 1,137$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.45 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.37 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Bucks | 70c | 1,121$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Grizzlies | 32c | 1,108$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.24 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Grizzlies | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…61a9backed Bucks | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 57c | 1,048$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.61 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…ac84backed Bucks | 60c | 1,008$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…dfe9backed Bucks | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Bucks | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Grizzlies | 41c | 950$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 57c | 874.26$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.33 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Grizzlies | 41c | 845.76$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bucks | 2c | 837.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Grizzlies | 64c | 797.73$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.18 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 787.3$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.37 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Grizzlies | 38c | 781.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.59 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…f236backed Bucks | 55c | 766$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 62c | 731$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.55 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bucks | 56c | 702.9$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.21 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 34c | 700$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 669.71$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Grizzlies | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Bucks | 52c | 629.72$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.49 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies | 32c | 628.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.89 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Bucks | 60c | 599.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Bucks | 52c | 536.92$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Grizzlies | 41c | 530.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.53 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.