TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cardinalsof Cardinals, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Cardinals57c15,577$8,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,698.2827948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Cardinals58c11,000$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.9921941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers39c4,561$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.471,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rangers42c3,500$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers43c3,430$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.532,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rangers42c3,339$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.2123752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Rangers19c3,333$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.273943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers14c2,455$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.722,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Cardinals58c2,198$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.327248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Cardinals58c2,006$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.523250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Rangers42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers15c1,908$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.99,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers13c1,737$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Cardinals80c1,252$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6131254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers10c1,250$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Rangers42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Cardinals80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Rangers43c949.98$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.4920450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Rangers42c858.23$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.469448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Rangers31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24830928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals72c656$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.521,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers42c523.69$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.955,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers44c517$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.481,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Cardinals56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Rangers23c434.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Cardinals57c432.36$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2415949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Cardinals71c371.61$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3540547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Rangers42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12614549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers42c297.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers27c274.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Cardinals55c264.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.212335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Rangers44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers41c212.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.311,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Cardinals59c212.83$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.264544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Cardinals79c203.23$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.683666.7%24 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals58c191$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals59c169.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.852,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals59c169.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.642,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Cardinals57c167.65$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0917155%94 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals59c156.25$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.661,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rangers16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe773…66f6backed Cardinals66c152.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.07366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e04…76babacked Rangers43c122.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd4d…4316backed Rangers43c121.21$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Rangers43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Rangers43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers34c104.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.152542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5957…75edbacked Rangers44c104.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8250%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe634…e098backed Rangers43c101.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.792754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa279…30a8backed Rangers43c93.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd6…c621backed Cardinals58c93.03$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…5a54backed Cardinals58c91.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda93…16dfbacked Cardinals57c90.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7530…aac4backed Cardinals58c90.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4e…2d95backed Rangers43c89.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+83.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bd5…92dbbacked Cardinals59c88.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…11c7backed Cardinals58c87.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fdd…57ebbacked Cardinals57c85.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5401…4409backed Cardinals59c85.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Cardinals59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.755358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d0…7255backed Rangers43c84.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3530…7f2fbacked Cardinals58c82.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1031…4eb2backed Cardinals58c82.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef5…6db3backed Cardinals58c82.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa421…b40cbacked Rangers43c81.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a9…e358backed Rangers43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae75…22cbbacked Cardinals58c80.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa30a…37afbacked Rangers43c77.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4750%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97bc…fda0backed Rangers44c71.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Cardinals57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.189950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Rangers37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.917732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2c…a0a4backed Rangers29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Rangers43c64.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9441649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Cardinals70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1412249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a7…dd85backed Rangers43c50.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Cardinals57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.540629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Cardinals53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.519566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals69c49.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Cardinals58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.194455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals56c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.922,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Rangers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d12…db9bbacked Rangers43c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Cardinals50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Rangers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1726…3986backed Rangers43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rangers42c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers41c31.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.911,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Cardinals58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8669547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…540ebacked Cardinals73c20.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.511957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.